How much will the PS5 sell in 2021? | ||||
| < 5M | 3 | $1,050.02 | 6.52% | |
| 5-7.5M | 1 | $5.00 | 2.17% | |
| 7.5M-10M | 3 | $161.00 | 6.52% | |
| 10M-12.5M | 3 | $1,220.00 | 6.52% | |
| 12.5M-15M | 7 | $1,102.00 | 15.22% | |
| 15M-17.5M | 17 | $6,386.00 | 36.96% | |
| 17.5M-20M | 8 | $1,962.00 | 17.39% | |
| 20M-22.5M | 1 | $1,000.00 | 2.17% | |
| 22.5M-25M | 2 | $550.00 | 4.35% | |
| > 25M | 1 | $1.00 | 2.17% | |
| Totals: | 46 | $13,437.02 | ||
|
|
||||
15-17.5 million, but I cannot place a bet. I am VGC broke lol.
Nintendo Switch Friend Code: SW-5643-2927-1984
Animal Crossing NH Dream Address: DA-1078-9916-3261
PS4 did 4.4M in launch year and 14.5M the year after, PS5, if supply allows it, should do better in launch year, so, with so little info, I can't dare to make wild predictions, either positive or negative, but I can a little more reasonably expect it to do better the year after too, with limits put again by supply, plus unpredictable factors, so I chose the range immediately above PS4 results in 2014. 15-17.5 looks reasonable enough, could do worse if Sony makes bad mistakes, but to do 18M or 20M or even more, both demand and supply should take off very fast, faster than both NS and PS4 actually. I can see Sony ramping up production as much as possible from initial average predictions if demand stays high enough, but having the plants ready for unprecedented year after launch sales is a bet top execs and major shareholdes won't accept to make easily. Not impossible, but they need either to accept a big risk or to receive all the necessary infos to make a reliable prediction of record sales early enough to set things up in time.
As many as they can produce, I would guess 12-15M.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
| VideoGameAccountant said: I put about 10-12.5 million though I'd say this is on the low end. My reason is that I don't see PS5 doing as well as PS4. There isn't as much enthusiasm for next gen as there was last time. I think right now scalpers are fudging interest by taking up a lot of the supply. I also expect 2021 will be a very bad economy. The COVID economy has been covered up by the media but for most of the year a third of renters could make their payments and same for home owners. As I understand it, the restrictions will lift. PS5 is going to be too expensive especially with $70 games. I think consumers are going to stick with the last gen longer. Switch also poses a nice alternative with a $200 smaller price tag. Also, Sony has burned through a lot of its goodwill in the last few years. There isn't any killer app on the horizon to boost sales either. So my prediction is a bit lower than most expect but I'm not seeing the PS5 meeting the first year of the PS4. |
If there wasn't strong demand for the console there wouldn't be as many scalpers.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
I think if they can make 18m and ship that, they will sell it.
(hopefully not just me being too optimistic)
The PS4 sold 14.6m in 2014. No way is the PS5 going to sell that much. I think it will be close to 10m. I voted 10-12.5m just because I think COVID is going to help it for the early part of next year. But with the high price and lack of new exclusives I just can't see it going above 12.5m.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox
| The_Liquid_Laser said: The PS4 sold 14.6m in 2014. No way is the PS5 going to sell that much. I think it will be close to 10m. I voted 10-12.5m just because I think COVID is going to help it for the early part of next year. But with the high price and lack of new exclusives I just can't see it going above 12.5m. |
Are you aware PS5 is launching with a much stronger library and exclusives than PS4?
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
DonFerrari said:
If there wasn't strong demand for the console there wouldn't be as many scalpers. |
This isn't necessarily true. Scalpers are doing it because they perceive the product will be popular or at least in small enough supply. Also, as others and myself have pointed out before, the launch window is never indicative of lifetime sales. They always do well at launch which is why you have scalpers (make a quick buck on those people that have to have it). They're actions aren't indicative of how actual popular the product is.
Visit my site for more
Known as Smashchu in a former life
It will only be limited by production. Whatever Sony can produce, they will sell.
Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.
Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010
KBG29 on PSN&XBL
So if Covid will help PS5 and the high price and lack of exclusives will make the year to be a lackluster one.
Where is the Sony is Doomed thread?
About Us |
Terms of Use |
Privacy Policy |
Advertise |
Staff |
Contact
Display As Desktop
Display As Mobile
© 2006-2024 VGChartz Ltd. All rights reserved.
