PS4 did 4.4M in launch year and 14.5M the year after, PS5, if supply allows it, should do better in launch year, so, with so little info, I can't dare to make wild predictions, either positive or negative, but I can a little more reasonably expect it to do better the year after too, with limits put again by supply, plus unpredictable factors, so I chose the range immediately above PS4 results in 2014. 15-17.5 looks reasonable enough, could do worse if Sony makes bad mistakes, but to do 18M or 20M or even more, both demand and supply should take off very fast, faster than both NS and PS4 actually. I can see Sony ramping up production as much as possible from initial average predictions if demand stays high enough, but having the plants ready for unprecedented year after launch sales is a bet top execs and major shareholdes won't accept to make easily. Not impossible, but they need either to accept a big risk or to receive all the necessary infos to make a reliable prediction of record sales early enough to set things up in time.
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