With Bloomberg reporting that Nintendo has increased Switch production by 20% and now expects to ship 30M consoles this fiscal year. Will the Switch do the unprecedented and actually ship 30 Million consoles this fiscal year between March 2020-March 2021?
If the Switch were to ship 30M this fiscal year, the Switch would be at around 86 Million by March 2021, which is insane that a system only 4 years in would reach 86M sold. No other console was able to do that other than the Nintendo DS. Even the extremely fast selling Wii couldn't hit 86M in 4 years EVEN WITH 5 HOLIDAY SEASONS compared to the Switch's 4 Holiday Seasons by March 2021.
Let's say the Switch sells 30M this fiscal year and right after falls off a cliff exactly like the Wii did, how much would it sell in it's lifetime?
March 2021: 86M
March 2022: 106M
March 2023: 121M
March 2024: 130M
March 2025: 134M
March 2026: 135M
Those are high numbers! That may compete with PS2/DS numbers eventually.