HigHurtenflurst on 12 September 2020
| Dulfite said: Your "fall off a cliff" scenario shows them selling 20 million units the next year? 20 million ANY YEAR for any system is a great number. Covid has done weird things to our expectations lol. |
The "falls off a cliff" term is maybe OTT, but 30 to 20 million is a 33% drop, looking at the hardware comparison charts (which are VGC sales for calendar year, but I can't be bothered to find all the shipment data) it's rare for sales to drop that much for a successful console unless it's caused by a replacement.
According to VGC these are the largest sales drops by % ignoring replacement years:
WiiU year4-5 = 68% (WiiU not a successful console though)
3DS year3-4 = 36%
Wii year5-6 = 33%
PSP year5-6 = 29%
XOne year6-7 = 27%
DS year6-7 = 25%
Unless Nintendo announces a successor it can ride the demand into the following year. Javi did say "falls off a cliff exactly like the Wii did".
