By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - The Switch version of Breath of the Wild shipped 17.41m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

 

The Switch version of Breath of the Wild shipped 17.41m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 20 million 97 11.10%
 
20.0 - 22.4 million 283 32.38%
 
22.5 - 24.9 million 203 23.23%
 
25.0 - 27.4 million 142 16.25%
 
27.5 - 29.9 million 42 4.81%
 
30.0 - 32.4 million 46 5.26%
 
32.5 - 34. 9 million 8 0.92%
 
35.0 - 37.4 million 6 0.69%
 
37.5 - 40.0 million 5 0.57%
 
More than 40 million 42 4.81%
 
Total:874

I'd say 30 million, I don't think the sequel will cut into its sales as much as some think.

Regarding the bonus question, I think they will continue with the full open world approach of the first game (not even a middle ground with linearity), as it's been one key aspects of the game's huge success.



The eventuality of an anomaly

Around the Network

if the switch lasts untill march 2023 and no new BOTW releases 29 million



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

RolStoppable said:
tbone51 said:
Can’t back down from my bold prediction

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242384/bold-prediction-botw-will-actually-sell-35mil-lifetime/1/

35mil including wiiu, 33mil for BotW on nsw

Your prediction has a chance to come true. During the fiscal year ending March 2020, BotW's sales actually increased in comparison to the fiscal year before (from a good 4m to ~4.5m), so a slowdown due to increased age hasn't been happening. The game should do another 4m this fiscal year, bringing its total to ~21.5m by March 2021. It's one of the games that defines Switch, so it will sell throughout the system's life without any sharp dropoffs.

I picked 30.0-32.4m in this poll. That disagrees with the majority vote (naturally excluding the troll option of below 20m), but the majority casts their vote without opening this thread, so it's conclusion based on ignorance.

Yes BotW gets this treatment despite being a single player game, it’s what halo is to the OG Xbox imo.

lol to your second part. Who picked 40mil? Need to see some explanations on that but first under 20mil xD



Nice thread and sales by BotW switch, I am kind of shocked because Zelda to me always sold at most 10m.

I believe that the game is so successful that the sequel will remain true to it in its foundation. However I expect it to get really creative in tools, temples, enemies, bosses and to push the game to a new level of experience in a similar way that Majora's mask did it with Oot, but without changing the gameplay mechanic completely like MM did. There will be big gradual changes as new items are found, new enemies encountered and new places explored.

Interesting numbers => https://vgsales.fandom.com/wiki/The_Legend_of_Zelda



I think it easy to assume on the most conservative assessment that this game will do 25M and probably a bit more by the end.

Bonus question : People formulates such good answer that I don't need to say anything. The game will feel familiar yet be it's own thing. Just like Majora's Mask was to OoT.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Around the Network

I'm thinking it will do about 25m. Who would have thought a Zeruda game would ever reach these sales numbers :O

People predicting it will do 30+m are really over shooting it :P I wonder if these are the people that underestimated it before. I for sure did not expect it to do more than 15m LT



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(


31 million.
I hope Nintendo will stay the course, but unfortunately they never do. I do not Trust Aonuma at all. He will mess this up again. His track record is a pretty consistent.



I accidentally voted 25 -27 million.

I’d say 30 million plus. The game will keep selling forever even more if the switch 2 being fully backward compatible lol



Game sales prediction threads should be limited to a single generation. Otherwise, you run into the GTAV problem (that will likely become more common, now that Rockstar has done such a good job with it) where the same game releases on multiple generations. How the hell can we predict sales when we don't know if a game will sell for 5 years or 20?



VAMatt said:
Game sales prediction threads should be limited to a single generation. Otherwise, you run into the GTAV problem (that will likely become more common, now that Rockstar has done such a good job with it) where the same game releases on multiple generations. How the hell can we predict sales when we don't know if a game will sell for 5 years or 20?

Well... it is. The poll question is how much it will sell on Switch. It doesn't include Wii U numbers, so ofc it wouldn't include future systems either.