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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart

Bofferbrauer2 on 19 May 2023

A wild PS4 game appears



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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Chicho on 19 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart May 20, 2023

1 – PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 58 0 32 ¥9.900 Square Enix
2 – NSW Pikmin 4
 39 0 63 ¥???? Nintendo
3 – NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 17 0 12 ¥????    Atlus
4 – NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 12 0 6 ¥12,700  Sprite
5 – PS5 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 9 0 95 ¥???? FromSoftware
6 – NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 7 0 127 ¥4,500 Pikii
7 – PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 5 0 47 ¥???? FuRyu
8 – NSW FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake 4 0 10 ¥???? Forever Entertainment
9 – PS5 Street Fighter 6 4 0 15 ¥???? Capcom
10 – NSW Akai Ito & Aoi Shiro HD Remaster 3 0 ?? ¥???? SUCCESS Corporation 
11 – NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 3 0 40 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
12 New NSW Minna Daisuki Katamari Damacy - Encore+ Ousama Petit Memory 2 0 12 ¥3,680 Bandai Namco
13 ↓1 NSW Sonic Origins Plus
 2 0 34 ¥???? Sega
14 ↓1 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 75 ¥18,700 Otomate
15 ↓1 NSW Wand of Fortune R2: Jikuu ni Shizumu Mokushiroku (LE) 2 0 63 ¥???? Idea Factory
16 ↓1 NSW Farming Simulator 23 2 0 3 ¥???? GIANTS Software
17 ↓1 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg (LE) 2 0 54 ¥10,230 Koei Tecmo
18 ↓1 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg 2 0 54 ¥6,380 Koei Tecmo
19 ↓1 NSW Hakuoki: Sweet School Life (LE) 2 0 26 ¥9,350 Idea Factory
20 ↓1 NSW Hakuoki: Sweet School Life  2 0 26 ¥7,150 Idea Factory
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

Chicho on 20 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart May 21, 2023

1 – PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 60 +2 31 ¥9.900 Square Enix
2 – NSW Pikmin 4
 39 0 62 ¥???? Nintendo
3 – NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 19 +2 11 ¥????    Atlus
4 – NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 12 0 5 ¥12,700  Sprite
5 – PS5 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 9 0 94 ¥???? FromSoftware
6 – NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 7 0 126 ¥4,500 Pikii
7 ↑1 NSW FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake 5 +1 9 ¥???? Forever Entertainment
8 ↓1 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 5 0 46 ¥???? FuRyu
9 – PS5 Street Fighter 6 4 0 14 ¥???? Capcom
10 – NSW Akai Ito & Aoi Shiro HD Remaster 3 0 ?? ¥???? SUCCESS Corporation 
11 – NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 3 0 39 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
12 New PS4 LOOP8 : Summer of Gods 2 0 16 ¥???? Marvelous
13 New PS4 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 2 0 94 ¥???? FromSoftware
14 ↓2 NSW Minna Daisuki Katamari Damacy - Encore+ Ousama Petit Memory 2 0 11 ¥3,680 Bandai Namco
15 ↓2 NSW Sonic Origins Plus
 2 0 33 ¥???? Sega
16 ↓2 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 74 ¥18,700 Otomate
17 ↓2 NSW Wand of Fortune R2: Jikuu ni Shizumu Mokushiroku (LE) 2 0 62 ¥???? Idea Factory
18 ↓2 NSW Farming Simulator 23 2 0 2 ¥???? GIANTS Software
19 ↓2 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg (LE) 2 0 53 ¥10,230 Koei Tecmo
20 ↓2 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg 2 0 53 ¥6,380 Koei Tecmo
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

Chicho on 22 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart May 22, 2023

1 – PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 64 +4 30 ¥9.900 Square Enix
2 – NSW Pikmin 4
 39 0 61 ¥???? Nintendo
3 – NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 19 0 10 ¥????    Atlus
4 – NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 12 0 4 ¥12,700  Sprite
5 – PS5 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 9 0 93 ¥???? FromSoftware
6 – NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 7 0 125 ¥4,500 Pikii
7 – NSW FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake 5 0 8 ¥???? Forever Entertainment
8 – PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 5 0 45 ¥???? FuRyu
9 – PS5 Street Fighter 6 5 +1 13 ¥???? Capcom
10 New PS4 Street Fighter 6 4 0 13 ¥???? Capcom
11 ↓1 NSW Akai Ito & Aoi Shiro HD Remaster 3 0 ?? ¥???? SUCCESS Corporation 
12 ↓1 NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 3 0 38 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
13 New PS5 Diablo IV 3 0 15 ¥???? Blizzard
14 ↓2 PS4 LOOP8 : Summer of Gods 3 +1 15 ¥???? Marvelous
15 ↓2 PS4 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 2 0 93 ¥???? FromSoftware
16 ↓2 NSW Minna Daisuki Katamari Damacy - Encore+ Ousama Petit Memory 2 0 10 ¥3,680 Bandai Namco
17 ↓2 NSW Sonic Origins Plus
 2 0 32 ¥???? Sega
18 ↓2 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 73 ¥18,700 Otomate
19 ↓2 NSW Wand of Fortune R2: Jikuu ni Shizumu Mokushiroku (LE) 2 0 61 ¥???? Idea Factory
20 ↓2 NSW Farming Simulator 23 2 0 1 ¥???? GIANTS Software
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

Chicho on 22 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart May 23, 2023

1 – PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 65 +1 29 ¥9.900 Square Enix
2 – NSW Pikmin 4
 39 0 60 ¥???? Nintendo
3 – NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 19 0 9 ¥????    Atlus
4 – NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 12 0 3 ¥12,700  Sprite
5 – PS5 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 9 0 92 ¥???? FromSoftware
6 – NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 7 0 124 ¥4,500 Pikii
7 ↑1 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 5 0 44 ¥???? FuRyu
8 ↑1 PS5 Street Fighter 6 5 0 12 ¥???? Capcom
9 ↓2 NSW FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake 4 -1 7 ¥???? Forever Entertainment
10 – PS4 Street Fighter 6 4 0 12 ¥???? Capcom
11 New NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg 3 0 51 ¥6,380 Koei Tecmo
12 ↓1 NSW Akai Ito & Aoi Shiro HD Remaster 3 0 ?? ¥???? SUCCESS Corporation 
13 ↓1 NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 3 0 37 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
14 ↓1 PS5 Diablo IV 3 0 14 ¥???? Blizzard
15 ↓1 PS4 LOOP8 : Summer of Gods 3 0 14 ¥???? Marvelous
16 ↓1 PS4 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 2 0 92 ¥???? FromSoftware
17 ↓1 NSW Minna Daisuki Katamari Damacy - Encore+ Ousama Petit Memory 2 0 9 ¥3,680 Bandai Namco
18 ↓1 NSW Sonic Origins Plus
 2 0 31 ¥???? Sega
19 ↓1 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 72 ¥18,700 Otomate
20 ↓1 NSW Wand of Fortune R2: Jikuu ni Shizumu Mokushiroku (LE) 2 0 60 ¥???? Idea Factory
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

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Korvo_Attano on 23 May 2023

FF XVI probably closes around 150pts. I'm expecting FW sales to be about 400-500k physical and another 400k digital. I hope it does more though



DaAndy on 23 May 2023
Korvo_Attano said:

FF XVI probably closes around 150pts. I'm expecting FW sales to be about 400-500k physical and another 400k digital. I hope it does more though

Absolutely Zero chance for these numbers.

Even half these numbers (200-250k) are not too realistic I guess.

The number I consider to be beaten for very sure is 100k. I am not even 100% sure it will make 150k, but that still sounds kinda realistic.

I guess we should not overestimate it, even though it is Final Fantasy. PS5 Software (retail) does so insanely bad in Japan... it is kind of a nightmare...



Megiddo on 23 May 2023
DaAndy said:

The number I consider to be beaten for very sure is 100k. I am not even 100% sure it will make 150k, but that still sounds kinda realistic.

I guess we should not overestimate it, even though it is Final Fantasy. PS5 Software (retail) does so insanely bad in Japan... it is kind of a nightmare...

When RE2 remake launched on PS4 it had 265k copies its first week. Both FF7R and FFXV sold ~700k copies their first week. or about 2.65 times the amount of RE2 remake's initial week.

When RE4 remake launched it had 90k copies on PS5 and 85k copies on PS4 its first week. That means the absolute bare minimum for FFXVI to sell is 90k * 2.65 or about 240k copies. That is the smallest opening that could be conceived by any kind of logical deduction. 

Your numbers, quite simply, are not rooted in any sort of logic.

Last edited by Megiddo - on 23 May 2023

Chicho on 23 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart May 24, 2023

1 – PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 65 0 28 ¥9.900 Square Enix
2 – NSW Pikmin 4
 39 0 59 ¥???? Nintendo
3 – NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 19 0 8 ¥????    Atlus
4 – NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 12 0 2 ¥12,700  Sprite
5 – PS5 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 10 +1 91 ¥???? FromSoftware
6 ↑1 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 5 0 43 ¥???? FuRyu
7 ↑1 PS5 Street Fighter 6 5 0 11 ¥???? Capcom
8 ↑1 NSW FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake 4 0 6 ¥???? Forever Entertainment
9 ↓3 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 4 -3 123 ¥4,500 Pikii
10 – PS4 Street Fighter 6 4 0 11 ¥???? Capcom
11 – NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg 3 0 50 ¥6,380 Koei Tecmo
12 – NSW Akai Ito & Aoi Shiro HD Remaster 3 0 ?? ¥???? SUCCESS Corporation 
13 – NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 3 0 36 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
14 – PS5 Diablo IV 3 0 13 ¥???? Blizzard
15 – PS4 LOOP8 : Summer of Gods 3 0 13 ¥???? Marvelous
16 – PS4 Armored Core VI: Fires of Rubicon 2 0 91 ¥???? FromSoftware
17 – NSW Minna Daisuki Katamari Damacy - Encore+ Ousama Petit Memory 2 0 8 ¥3,680 Bandai Namco
18 New PS5 Minna Daisuki Katamari Damacy - Encore+ Ousama Petit Memory 2 0 8 ¥3,680 Bandai Namco
19 ↓1 NSW Sonic Origins Plus
 2 0 30 ¥???? Sega
20 ↓1 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 71 ¥18,700 Otomate
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

kazuyamishima on 23 May 2023

FFXVI will do about 500k or so FW including Physical and digital sales alongside units from the bundle, sites like this one and Installbase will call it a flop but SE will ship around 5 million units FW/FM WW.