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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict Animal Crossing Sales for the Quarter [Shipped+Digital]

Do we even get shipped numbers for japan specifically? Anyways assuming that we do:

6,3 million shipped global
2,5 million in japan

It's definitely gonna be an evergreen and reach crazy lifetime numbers, but I don't expect the launch to be any more than this.



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2021 predictions:

  • Switch - 27m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

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Jumpin said:
one hundred BILLION units.

That's to conservative an estimate for my liking.



Hmmm, so 11 days worth of sales? Well AC games usually rely on huge legs rather than huge FW sales, even though this time around it seems to have massive initial anticipation. For this reason, i'm inclined to lean towards the lower scale of initial expectations. Not that i don't think it won't eventually end up with massive LT sales. I would say 2.8m in Japan first quarter and 5.2-5.5m WW.

LT i would say 18-22m WW though



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

8.75M



Was hoping to pick it up for my step daughter today as an Easter gift but my local Best Buy and Walmart didn't get any stock. We have some shipment delays in NS, Canada due to Corona.



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I got no clue. There are too many variables. Can people buy a Switch to play it? Will stores even be open for the game to be available? If so, then in which countries? What percentage of lost physical sales will show up as digital sales? I've got no clue.

Long term, I'm sure the game will be the best selling Animal Crossing yet. Short term? I really don't know.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
I got no clue. There are too many variables. Can people buy a Switch to play it? Will stores even be open for the game to be available? If so, then in which countries? What percentage of lost physical sales will show up as digital sales? I've got no clue.

Long term, I'm sure the game will be the best selling Animal Crossing yet. Short term? I really don't know.

Both short and long term for sure.

Userbase is big. Game reviewed exceptional. Current situation is benefitting playing such a game.

New Leaf had a pretty slow start and huge legs.

In Japan it sold 700k first week. New Horizons will probably triple that.

The western scene previously was not THAT big but since New Leaf and the Mobile game the fanbase has grown and cultivated and was in dire need of a new mainline game.

Performance on amazon worldwide is also amazing.

Expect big things from this game when it comes to sales. Its digital share will also be a lot bigger than previous Nintendo games.



pikashoe said:
Jumpin said:
one hundred BILLION units.

That's to conservative an estimate for my liking.

I tend not to get overly excited with my predictions. Always the pessimist! But in the end, if it sells more, then there’s something to be excited about!



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

7 million. I'm pretty sure digital purchases will outsell physical at least 2 to 1. I get almost all my Switch games physically, but COVID-19 swayed me to buying Animal Crossing digitally.

7 million in the first 11 days alone seems pretty likely. 15 million lifetime is guaranteed. 20 million or more is likely.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

AngryLittleAlchemist said:
RingoGaSuki said:

 I know of at least 20 people who have bought Switches just for AC

Wow, wish I had that kind of social life ...

OP: I don't know what Sword and Shield sold did in that same time, but I'd guess around that, if not a little higher.

"This quarter" means March - May right? 

I have no actual social life ;o;
I'm just basing this off of the rush of people on my social media showing off their new switches with AC. ...and my few actual friends who I've been pestering to get a Switch for years suddenly telling me to add them and visit their island (actually so happy).

If the massive UK launch is repeated across the rest of the world (and I think it's almost certain that it will be) then I'm confident that my 25m LT guess will be crossed easily. AC is the best game for these uncertain times.

Last edited by RingoGaSuki - on 22 March 2020