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7 million. I'm pretty sure digital purchases will outsell physical at least 2 to 1. I get almost all my Switch games physically, but COVID-19 swayed me to buying Animal Crossing digitally.

7 million in the first 11 days alone seems pretty likely. 15 million lifetime is guaranteed. 20 million or more is likely.

Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima