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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - BOLD PREDICTION: ACNH Will Become Best Selling GOAT in Japan [Update 7.15mil]

tbone51 on 16 April 2020

Making a slight change... it’ll be number 1


Red/green sold over 8mil. It’s only 10mil when you add in blue that came out later



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Bofferbrauer2 on 16 April 2020
tbone51 said:
Making a slight change... it’ll be number 1


Red/green sold over 8mil. It’s only 10mil when you add in blue that came out later

And at the way it sells, it's not impossible that it could even beat RGB combined tally of over 10M



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tbone51 on 16 April 2020
Bofferbrauer2 said:
tbone51 said:
Making a slight change... it’ll be number 1


Red/green sold over 8mil. It’s only 10mil when you add in blue that came out later

And at the way it sells, it's not impossible that it could even beat RGB combined tally of over 10M

That’s true but I have to see first, it’s hard to tell intill maybe beginning of 2022. I do think AC will be way over 7mil by years end though



tbone51 on 25 April 2020

Bumping thread. This game will be 7mil by end of June. I made new thread showcasing a whopping 12mil which is impossible. Check it out xD



burninmylight on 25 April 2020

Pre Corona, I would have said "nah..."

Now, I'm saying why not? What else do people have to do?



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MasonADC on 25 April 2020

Doesn’t Nintendo combine the shipments of RGB? If so I can’t see ACNH beating that



Wyrdness on 25 April 2020
MasonADC said:
Doesn’t Nintendo combine the shipments of RGB? If so I can’t see ACNH beating that

RGB are combined by Nintendo due to the nature of their release Blue for 4 years wasn't available to buy at retail in Japan as it was originally a limited edition only available to Corocoro subscribers via special order so essentially they count it as one whole release instead of separate ones.



tbone51 on 07 August 2020
tbone51 said:
Bumping thread. This game will be 7mil by end of June. I made new thread showcasing a whopping 12mil which is impossible. Check it out xD

7.15mil by end of June! Not bad



noshten on 07 August 2020

Somehow missed this thread, sry @tbone51 but after seeing the launch it was easy to see it will become the Top Selling Game of all time in Japan by 2022:

By the way I always view Pokemon Red, Blue, Green + Yellow as the Top Selling game(thus 12M is what I was expecting by 2022)

This is after Q1 had wrapped up:

noshten said:

Amazing Q1 Results for Switch Software, due to the launch of Animal Crossing New Horizons, Switch Top 10 Software have already sold over 4.5M, thats an increase of 89% compared to Q1/2019. For the entire 2019 Switch Top 10 titles sold 8.2M TOTAL. So Switch Software Top 10 Software Sales in 2020 are already close to 55% compared to last year's total, with three quarters left to go.

Also this doesn't paint the full picture since Animal Crossing is likely to have at between 1M to 1.5M Digital Sales in Japan in the past three weeks. No doubt the game has shipped over 4M for Q1 with digital. 

Animal Crossing has already sold what Pokemon Sword / Shield - 2019's Top Selling physical game did in just two weeks. It will easily surpass 4.5M physical + 6M physical + digital this year in Japan due to its wide demographical appeal and historic legs. I cannot even predict how high it will end up but its going to be the Top Selling Japanese Game of all time by 2022 if digital is counted. Constant updates/events and price cuts to the Switch HW in the future will ensure multiple Switch devices with Animal Crossing per household in Japan. 

If I were to make a prediction for shipped+digital by year:

  • 2020 - >9.5M
  • 2021 - >11.5M
  • 2022 - >13M

Simply put I expect the game to sell >2M next year, all they really need is 33% off during any month of the year and they would probably bring down the eShop. Demographics buying Animal Crossing: New Horizon don't have a ton of other games too chose from, so it would always be their first purchase. So even in 2022 sales would still be higher than what Splatoon 2 did in it's second year. The team behind Animal Crossing and Splatoon knows how to keep interested high in their GaaS games, so I expect substantial DLC is planned until at least the end of 2022. 



Jumpin on 08 August 2020

It’s 70% of the way there in less than 5 months. Can it make it by the end of the fiscal year?



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