Forums - General Discussion - Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

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JRPGfan said:

Flordia had 8,942 daily cases yesterday.... and today its currently over +9,585 new cases.

Anyone wanna make bets (guess) where florida is a week from now?
Do they take drastic meassures to stop spread? does it just keep going up?
Will we see 15-20,000 new daily cases in flordia a week from now?

Nothing drastic will be done until after July 4th (US independence day).



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JRPGfan said:

Flordia had 8,942 daily cases yesterday.... and today its currently over +9,585 new cases.

Anyone wanna make bets (guess) where florida is a week from now?
Do they take drastic meassures to stop spread? does it just keep going up?
Will we see 15-20,000 new daily cases in flordia a week from now?

Comparing Florida this week to the week before they are averaging a 1.11x daily growth factor.
(40,119 last 7 days, 19267 the 7 days before, 208% week over week change, 1.110x increase per day)
Averaged throughout last week a corrected curve would go about from 4100 to 7669 daily cases for the 20th to the 26th

1.11x daily growth Predicted vs Observed

6/20 4100  4639
6/21 4551  2761
6/22 5052  3825
6/23 5607  5461
6/24 6224  4966
6/25 6909  8831
6/26 7669  9636
6/27 8513
6/28 9449
6/29 10488
6/30 11642
7/01 12923
7/02 14344
7/03 15922
7/04 17674

Yep on the 15 to 20 thousand new cases if all stays the same.

33 states are now on the rise
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/16/816707182/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s

Last edited by SvennoJ - 6 days ago

SvennoJ said:
jason1637 said:
Arizona is reducing the hospitalized numbers by putting people in tents and counting that as non hospitalized patients lol.

Are they still charging them the same amount for hospital stay? Or is there a tent discount...

In any case, if the bill arrives, they should then argue that they haven't actually been hospitalized if they were in the tent.



I hate to say it the death toll in the US will be over 200K. It hasn't even peaked in a lot of states yet. Can't see a rapid decline of new cases anytime soon.



Looks like some states are reversing course

https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/u-s-states-reimpose-virus-controls-after-daily-cases-surged-to-all-time-high-1.5002610

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott ordered all bars closed, while Florida banned alcohol at such establishments.

"It is clear that the rise in cases is largely driven by certain types of activities, including Texans congregating in bars," Abbott said. The Republican governor, who had pursued one of the most aggressive reopening schedules of any state, also scaled back restaurant capacity and said outdoor gatherings of more than 100 people would need approval from local officials.

Mayor Carlos Gimenez in Florida's Miami-Dade county announced Friday night he would close beaches over the Fourth of July weekend. He said cracking down on recreational activities is prudent given the growing number of infections among young adults.

Louisiana reported its second one-day spike of more than 1,300 cases this week. The increasing numbers led Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards to suspend further easing of restrictions. Republican Gov. Doug Ducey did the same in Arizona, where cases are topping 3,000 a day and 85% of hospital beds are occupied.

But Republican Gov. Bill Lee has been reluctant to reinstate restrictions or call for a mask mandate in Tennessee, which reported its biggest one-day jump in infections for the second time in a week, with more than 1,400,


While Australia is dealing with new incoming cases

Australia braced for more imported cases as citizens return home. About 300 people were due to arrive this weekend from Mumbai, India, with others expected to follow from South America and Indonesia. One state heath official said he is preparing for 5% to 10% of the returnees to be infected, based on arrivals from Indonesia in other states.

Europe is preparing to restart tourism...

https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/eu-to-welcome-travellers-from-approved-countries-u-s-unlikely-to-make-the-cut-1.5002559

European Union envoys are close to finalizing a list of countries whose citizens will be allowed to enter Europe again, possibly from late next week, EU diplomats confirmed Saturday.

Anyone remember how the ball started rolling...



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10 million gang. 20 by the end of the summer?



jason1637 said:
10 million gang. 20 by the end of the summer?

It depends how it goes.

Atm we're at 1.155 million cases per week. If it stays flat from now on less than 9 weeks to 20 million, August 27th.
However cases have been steadily growing 114% week over week, shrinking it to 5 weeks and 4 days, August 5th.
That week would be adding 2.5 million cases if we don't stop the current growth.



I keep seeing the US numbers climbing ever higher... And we haven't had a single case here in over a month... Economy is recovering.

Trumps policy in handling COVID-19 is an utter and complete joke and the pain the USA will have to endure will be extended.



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Pemalite said:
I keep seeing the US numbers climbing ever higher... And we haven't had a single case here in over a month... Economy is recovering.

Trumps policy in handling COVID-19 is an utter and complete joke and the pain the USA will have to endure will be extended.

The US actually won't have to endure anything. Poor people dying in the streets is their normal mode and their propaganda machines are strong enough to cover up a few more deaths. I think at this point it's gonna be irrelevant if they have 200000 dead or 20 million, their political and capitalist machine has proven too resistant even to a pandemic. Yes, a good portion of people will be worse off, but that has never stopped the US to claim superiority and blame everything on the poor.

Also, I reject the notion of calling anything the Republican party or Trump has done in the past 20 years a "policy".



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SvennoJ said:
jason1637 said:
10 million gang. 20 by the end of the summer?

It depends how it goes.

Atm we're at 1.155 million cases per week. If it stays flat from now on less than 9 weeks to 20 million, August 27th.
However cases have been steadily growing 114% week over week, shrinking it to 5 weeks and 4 days, August 5th.
That week would be adding 2.5 million cases if we don't stop the current growth.

Yeah may 20th it was just 5m worldwide.
Its taken like ~36-37days to double the worldwide confirmed cases.

"end of summer" thats around september right? (for northern europe) so like 3 months away?
Yes by that time, we could be over 20m confirmed cases world wide.

Pemalite said:
I keep seeing the US numbers climbing ever higher... And we haven't had a single case here in over a month... Economy is recovering.

Trumps policy in handling COVID-19 is an utter and complete joke and the pain the USA will have to endure will be extended.

It proves you dont want to "act" late, and then do half ass meassures, only to give up, before time, because your worried about the economy.

Trump without a doubt, has caused this pandemic to hit the US economy worse than if others would have just taken the time to get it right 1st time around, and not made wearing masks a red vs blue thingy. The mixed messageing from the Whitehouse is hurting not just the US health system (and lives) but also the economy.

You cannot have a healthy ecnomy, if your population en mass are sick.
Why is that so hard to understand? Save the economy? you need to fight the virus, its the root of the issue.

vivster said:
Pemalite said:
I keep seeing the US numbers climbing ever higher... And we haven't had a single case here in over a month... Economy is recovering.

Trumps policy in handling COVID-19 is an utter and complete joke and the pain the USA will have to endure will be extended.

The US actually won't have to endure anything. Poor people dying in the streets is their normal mode and their propaganda machines are strong enough to cover up a few more deaths. I think at this point it's gonna be irrelevant if they have 200000 dead or 20 million, their political and capitalist machine has proven too resistant even to a pandemic. Yes, a good portion of people will be worse off, but that has never stopped the US to claim superiority and blame everything on the poor.

Also, I reject the notion of calling anything the Republican party or Trump has done in the past 20 years a "policy".

Doubt it can kill that many, at most I'd say around ~3m in the US.
If you just let it run its course though society. The old and sick, will be the majority of the deaths.

However if you need to get that many infected (before herd immunity removes the issue), you will be left with a population that has : more diabetes, more lunge damage, had blood clots and heart attacks, brain damage, kidney damage, liver damage.

People act like if you get this virus and dont die, your fine.
Your not, alot of people that make it, have lasting damage afterwards.

Last edited by JRPGfan - 5 days ago