Barozi said:
Yeah every country is too slow at the moment, except Israel (no update in the UK since the end of the year so maybe they're doing alright). We're averaging 40k a day. So 4m in 100 days (~5% of the population) but that's just the first dose. It will take years at that speed. |
There is also varying degrees of immunity from already having had Covid-19. 80+ million confirmed cases and maybe 10 times as many undetected. That could be about 10% of the population already walking around with some anti bodies.
It's these new more infectious strains that are creating new problems. The current measures were all tuned to keep the growth down enough under good circumstances, i.e. good weather, no holiday gathering. At least the next mass gatherings aren't until Easter, but we're still in the middle of winter for a while. Things might still get worse until June before finally improving to previous (post first wave) levels.
Then hopefully after next summer enough people will have anti bodies not to get this escalation again end of this year. I imagine we'll still have to continue with masks and social distancing to summer 2022, then maybe again in fall/winter (not a bad idea, flu kills as well) Hopefully this round will be the last of lock downs and mass closures, next summer wave should be much much smaller. It all depends on air travel regulations.
New rules:
Everyone flying into Canada will be required to provide proof of a recent negative test result for COVID-19 as of 11:59 p.m. EST Wednesday.
This new stipulation, which was announced last week, brings Canada in line with dozens of other countries, including France, Portugal, Brazil and Russia. Some airlines have also implemented similar rules, even for flights that are landing in countries that do not have this requirement.
All passengers must present their airline with proof of a negative result from a PCR test taken within 72 hours of their scheduled departure time. Without that proof, the government says, they will not be allowed to board their flight.
Even with proof of a negative test, travellers entering Canada must quarantine for their first 14 days in the country. Anyone whose quarantine plan is not considered acceptable will be placed in a federal quarantine facility.
Federal quarantine facilities will also be used to house anyone who is arriving in Canada from a country that does not offer PCR tests.
Passengers on Canada-bound flights will still have to answer health screening questions, undergo temperature checks and wear masks as required.
The rules are solid, enforcement however, is not...