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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict how much Fire Emblem:Three Houses will ship in it's first quarter?

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How big will be first quarter shipments?

< 400K 0 $0.00 0%
 
400K-600K 0 $0.00 0%
 
600K-800K 0 $0.00 0%
 
800K-1.0M 0 $0.00 0%
 
1.0M-1.2M 3 $900.00 12.50%
 
1.2M-1.4M 2 $120.00 8.33%
 
1.4M-1.6M 5 $581.00 20.83%
 
1.6M-1.8M 2 $350.00 8.33%
 
1.8M-2.0M 2 $105.00 8.33%
 
> 2.0M 10 $2,982.10 41.67%
 
 
Totals: 24 $5,038.10  
Game closed: 07/25/2019
Jranation on 06 May 2019

Im going to wait after e3 and see how much content the game have and the reception it gets.



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The_Liquid_Laser on 06 May 2019

I picked 1.4-1.6m, but I've really got no sense for how this game will sell. I do think they need to promote it better next time. The last Direct made it seem like a "meh" game among a pile of gems.



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RingoGaSuki on 06 May 2019

Three Houses is tracking great, Fire Emblem constantly has commercials over here in Japan, and the last few entries in the series have done very well (even Warriors did better than I thought it would; not as well as I think it deserves though). I'm guessing 2m first quarter. 4-5m LT, maybe more if it's good, and marketed properly.

cycycychris said:
MasonADC said:

So worse than the last two FE games? I don’t see that being possible. Xenoblade only had a month to sell, while FE has a little more than 2. 

Xenoblade 2 also had Christmas. Last 2 fe games have also had more than 1 version to inflate sales.

That was only Fates. Echoes only had one version (as did Warriors, albeit it released on two consoles)



Paatar on 08 May 2019

I think it'll probably sell around 1.5m and selling over 2m after holiday.
If reception is good, advertising is well done and it's promoted via Fire Emblem Heroes and considering the attachment rate of Switch first party titles, I could even see it doing over 2m in two months and over 3m this year.



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Nautilus on 08 May 2019

FE Three Houses has a extremely interesting setting, seems that it will be high quality(at least thats my impression), and it will be able to take advantage of the Switch Effect.

So if we are talking about 2 months worth of sale(since we will get the info in October with sales ending late September), it will easily top 2 million units.Hell, I would go as far as to say that it will pass 3 millions, assuming the game has at least a score of 85 metacritic.



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Mnementh on 14 November 2019

OK, according to VGC this game shipped 2.2 million:
http://www.vgchartz.com/game/222154/fire-emblem-three-houses/game

I see I was WAY too conservative with my options here.



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