Yeah, they should buy FFVIII remaster over and over again to show their intelligence quotient

I'm not so sure about that, PS4 has Final Fantasy, Dragon Quest, Monster Hunter, Metal Gear Solid, Tekken, Gran Turismo, Resident Evil, God Eater, Dynasty Warriors, Hot Shots Golf, Street Fighter, Persona, Star Ocean, Tales of, Dragon Ball and soon to be Kingdom Hearts.

Basically all the big Japanese properties not by Nintendo/Level 5 and these were the franchises that pushed PS1/PS2/PSP to ~20 million sales in Japan.

I have my reservations about Switch catching the DS/3DS as well, but it is still too early to tell.  We still have the next mainline Pokemon game and Animal Crossing, so I think after year 3 will be a good point to draw some more accurate predictions.

However 20-25 mil seems like a reasonable guess in my book.  It is likely we will see a Switch 2 being announced in year 4 and dropping in year 5, since eventually they will need to get closer to the PS5.  When that happens, sales will slow as people wait for the new device to drop.

They may do a switch Pro but noway do they do switch 2 so soon. Switch didnt stop ps4 doing good sales and ps5 won't stop switch doing good sales. 

The DS is out of reach in my view. It'll be a while before we see another system reach those numbers, maybe the Switch 2 can do it if Nintendo makes it fully backwards compatible and does exactly the same things they're doing with the Switch now, only double down on the marketing and support. But that won't be until waaay down the road, so I digress.

I do think it has a good chance to catch the 3DS. The 3DS is pretty much finished. It's not going to grow much more than where it is now. I'm thinking somewhere around 24.5 million will be its final tally. The Switch can reach that. As I stated in an earlier comment, it may be falling behind the 3DS in Japan right now, but the 3DS peaked very early. If fact, we just passed the 3DS' peak year, it's 2nd year (2012) whereas the Switch's peak years have yet to come. So, I think starting in 2020 is when it'll noticeably start to close the gap with the 3DS and eventually, once it gets close to the end of its cycle, it will overtake the 3DS.

And I highly doubt that we will get Switch 2 in 2022 (Switch's 5th year). Especially if the Switch continues to track well ahead of the 3DS' global sales like it has. The Switch was released in March 2017 and by that point, the 3DS had been on the market for about 6 years. So anything shorter than 6 years for the Switch would be cutting its legs off from underneath and, in my opinion, a big mistake on Nintendo's part.

As far as the PS5 and its potential effect on Switch sales are concerned, I side with Kerotan in that I don't see how one could effect the other. By the time the PS5 comes out, more than likely in late 2020, Nintendo will have made the adjustment, or start doing so by that point, of marketing and selling the Switch as a handheld device that can be played like a console. Right now, they are marketing the Switch primarily as a console you can take on the go like a portable and its price point of $300 has a lot to do with that, I feel. By that point, it will be at either $250, or even $200 if we get a revision of sorts that helps bring it down to that price. From that point onwards, they'll market the Switch as a handheld capable of HD quality games you can play on your TV. All the while, they'll be drawing in more and more of their handheld/portable audience who were waiting for the Switch to get to that handheld price range for them to make the purchase. Plus, there's the Switch Pro/X/i, whichever you prefer, that will fill the niche for those who want stronger, upgraded hardware.

Meanwhile, the PS5 will be launching at probably $400; At most, $500. And at those launch prices, the vast majority of people who will by the system are the early adapters and/or diehard, loyal PlayStation fans who are eager to get the newest system while the mainstream audience will wait for a price cut to a more affordable range and for its library to build and grow over time. Sony and Nintendo will be going for totally different audiences here and one company's performance and success will have little to no effect on the other's. 

The Switch has the advantages of being their first ever hybrid. So the benefits of a console but with portability. It also has the full force of Nintendo games development focused on one platform instead of two. 

I don't think a switch 2 will have the same effect. It will sell well but not as well imo. 

It doesn't works like that, if you claiming something than you provide something to backup your claims, especially when we comparing sales numbers and no one provided sales number or any proof that X360 did sold better.

Again, I at least gave some official numbers and from Americas number is to easy to make statement that US are around 90% sales of Americas, on other hand you didnt provide even America's number for X360 not to mention US.

It's a massive stretch to say half of those are ports though. It was about 20 titles that weren't to 7 that were ports when i had a count up.

Actualy Switch 2 could have even bigger popularity and sales because Switch 2 could have much stronger 3rd party support than current Switch has, current Switch coming after Wii U that was disasster and plenty of 3rd parties didn't want to release games for new Nintendo console after Wii U, but Switch 2 that would essentially be improved Switch and that coming after very successful Switch means 3rd parties can be much more confident in Switch 2 success and what they could expect for it. And whats more important, hybrid concept is here to stay, hybrid concept is not same thing like for instance Wii motion controls that was only current novality and popularity, hybrid concept can only be even more popular in future.

From list of VGHz list, around 1/4 of games are ports, so you are not even close with yours half of Switch games are ports.

I am talking about year 5 when it comes to Switch 2.  Nintendo typically comes out with new Hardware after 5 years.