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Forums - Nintendo - Nintendo Switch 10 million sellers

 

How many NS games will sell more than 10M copies?

1-5 3 2.73%
 
5-10 28 25.45%
 
10-15 56 50.91%
 
15-20 12 10.91%
 
20 + 11 10.00%
 
Total:110
NightlyPoe said:

I've been seeing Tomodachi and Luigi's Mansion on a few of these lists, so I'm not picking on you.  But I really have to wonder what makes anyone think these games will cross that threshold seeing as neither series has even approached 10 million.  Not saying it's impossible, but it strikes me as rather unlikely.  10 million is a rather huge number of games being sold.  Granted, the Switch seems to be a software sales beast, particularly for 1st party games, but even top-tier series like Zelda have trouble getting up to those heights.

I mean, Luigi's Mansion is an IP that's only had one sequel since it was first released in 2001.  If the series had that much juice in it, you'd think it wouldn't take 18 years and 3 console generations for them to finally give us another home console release.

As for Tomadachi... I don't get it.

Tomodachi Life sold 6.3m and appeals to the same crowd who go for games like Animal Crossing while LM2 hit 6m, that's both higher than what a series like Zelda averaged before BOTW hit 10m and that was a game people as well were arguing won't cross 10m because it's a threshold not reached, Switch has a high attach rate for first party software and is helped by a unified userbase, 10m is a large number but then these two games have sold numbers not to far from that so they can't be ignored especially with their popularity.

Last edited by Wyrdness - on 29 December 2018

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Clank said:
PAOerfulone said:
Already:
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
Super Mario Odyssey

Guaranteed:
Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee
Pokemon Gen 8
Pokemon Gen 9
Pokemon Gen 4 remakes
Splatoon 2
Animal Crossing Switch

Possibilities:
Super Mario Party
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe

Puncher's Chance, but Unlikely:
Luigi's Mansion 3

That's all I've got at the moment and even then, Gen 9 and Gen 4 remakes are just hypothetical.

I would add a new 3d mario game (Odyssey came early so I guess they will have the time to release a new one)!

 

Also what about mario maker 2? First one did great for wii U (around 4M) 

Mario Maker is definitely possible, it did 4 million on Wii U and 2.93 million on 3DS as of Dec 2017 (current 2DS bundle will increase sales alot) so likely 7.5-8 million between the two lifetime.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

I feel like Mario Maker Deluxe/2 or a New 'New Super Mario Bros' title would be able to sell 10 million+ on Switch, but I think NSMBUD sell around 3-5 million.

Anyways titles that have already been announced/released that will cross 10 million would be:

1 - Super Mario Odyssey
2 - Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
3 - Zelda Botw
4 - Splatoon 2
5 - Super Smash Bros Ultimate
6 - Let's Go Pikachu and Eevee
7 - Pokemon Gen 8
8 - Animal Crossing

Other future possibilities include Mario Kart 9, New Mario 3D/2D Platformer, New 3D Zelda, Mainline Pokemon titles, Splatoon 3 and a New IP.

Last edited by Green098 - on 29 December 2018

With official September update we have 3 of them (Zelda BotW, Mario Odyssey and MK8D), Splatoon2, Smash Bros, Pokemon Lets Go, Pokemon Gen 8 and Animal Crossing for now all seem safe bet, so that already 8 of them, so more than 10 games (10-15) LT is very safe bet.

For other potential 10 million sellers we will have Super Mario Party, Pokemon game after Gen 8, new 3D Mario, Mario Maker 2, NSMBU DX, new 3D Zelda, Mario Kart 9, Tomodachi Life.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 29 December 2018

Green098 said:

I feel like Mario Maker Deluxe/2 or a New 'New Super Mario Bros' title would be able to sell 10 million+ on Switch, but I think NSMBUD sell around 3-5 million.

Anyways titles that have already been announced/released that will cross 10 million would be:

1 - Super Mario Odyssey
2 - Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
3 - Zelda Botw
4 - Splatoon 2
5 - Super Smash Bros Ultimate
6 - Let's Go Pikachu and Eevee
7 - Pokemon Gen 8
8 - Animal Crossing

Other future possibilities include Mario Kart 9, New Mario 3D/2D Platformer, New 3D Zelda, Mainline Pokemon titles, Splatoon 3 and a New IP.

I think NSMBUD has the potential to shock alot of people. With Wii U bombing and 3DS just doing decently in the West, this will be viewed by many people as the first 2D Mario since Wii (just like what is happening with Mario Kart 8 Deluxe).



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 said:
Green098 said:

I feel like Mario Maker Deluxe/2 or a New 'New Super Mario Bros' title would be able to sell 10 million+ on Switch, but I think NSMBUD sell around 3-5 million.

Anyways titles that have already been announced/released that will cross 10 million would be:

1 - Super Mario Odyssey
2 - Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
3 - Zelda Botw
4 - Splatoon 2
5 - Super Smash Bros Ultimate
6 - Let's Go Pikachu and Eevee
7 - Pokemon Gen 8
8 - Animal Crossing

Other future possibilities include Mario Kart 9, New Mario 3D/2D Platformer, New 3D Zelda, Mainline Pokemon titles, Splatoon 3 and a New IP.

I think NSMBUD has the potential to shock alot of people. With Wii U bombing and 3DS just doing decently in the West, this will be viewed by many people as the first 2D Mario since Wii (just like what is happening with Mario Kart 8 Deluxe).

It'd be nice if it did, wouldn't be the first something Switch related managed to shock a lot of people. Anyways I know I'm buying it day 1, I never played the Luigi U DLC or got around to finishing the main game.



Does anyone know the record for the most 10 million sellers?



11 games will achieve that.



MasonADC said:
Does anyone know the record for the most 10 million sellers?

DS and Wii both with 10 each.



Miyamotoo said:

With official September update we have 3 of them (Zelda BotW, Mario Odyssey and MK8D), Splatoon2, Smash Bros, Pokemon Lets Go, Pokemon Gen 8 and Animal Crossing for now all seem safe bet, so that already 8 of them, so more than 10 games (10-15) LT is very safe bet.

For other potential 10 million sellers we will have Super Mario Party, Pokemon game after Gen 8, new 3D Mario, Mario Maker 2, NSMBU DX, new 3D Zelda, Mario Kart 9, Tomodachi Life.

Do you think we will have another 3d zelda on switch? Actually botw was meant for wii u so maybe...

Btw what do u think about yoshi? I think there are many big games next year so it wont be that big but cluld top 4-5 M easily

Last edited by Clank - on 29 December 2018