August is a 4 weeks month

Important release

Possible hardware impact
- PS4 Pro stock problems
- PS4 500 million limited edition bundle (50K shipped worldwide)

Last month

[NSW] 262K
[PS4] 187K
[XB1] 152K

Last year:

[NSW] 215K
[PS4] 191K
[XB1] 116K

Predictions thread archivie

2018 predictions threads: January; February; March; April; May; June; July;
2017 predictions threads: January; February; March; April; May; June; July; August, September; October; November; December
2016 predictions threads: January; February; March; April; May; June; July; August; September; October; November; December
2015 predictions threads: January; February; March; April; May; June; July; August; September; October; November; December

[NSW] 209K
[PS4] 201K
[XB1] 162K

[PS4] 270k
[NSW] 230k
[XB1] 150k

The 500 million special edition PS4 puts it on top this month.

You are aware of that the Special Edition was 50k across the world right?

With Pro stock issues I find it very hard to believe it's going to pull off a 90k increase.

Switch - 210k
PS4- 205k
XBO- 180k

Not sure what you're referring to. The pro stock issues was last month. For August the pro reappeared on Gamestop, Best Buy, and even occasionally on Amazon. You should check out the NPD predicting tool to get a grasp of the recent data as you seem to be a month behind.

It had stock issues in august as well just not for the entire month is what I am refering to, the NPD tool has been quite accurate in determing the winner so far, but there are flaws in how it works and this month in particular where there showed up quite many new SKUs is obviously going to skew the predicted number.

I think it's going to be close between NSW and PS4, insiders on era has hinted about the Switch winning August as well and I cant see both systems being close to 270k. I'm think Ryng Tolus 200k+ units is a solid guess. Maybe a bit more.. but it would surprise me big time if it was that high.

I mean, the PS4 average points on the NPD prediction tool for July was 138 points/day. Even before the big spike due to the special console the PS4 was averaging about 275 in August, pretty much double its July average.

July Tool Points avg ------------ July NPD results
PS4: 138              187k
Switch: 413            262k

August Tool Points avg
PS4*: ~275
Switch: 382

*PS4 average pulled from the day before the special PS4 console was available for purchase

PS4 should have a much better month and Switch should be about even or maybe just a bit down from July.

[Ps4] 240-260k
[NSW] 210-220k
[XB1] 170k-190k
¯_(ツ)_/¯

NS: 310k
Ps4: 170K
One: 130k