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Forums - Sales - How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

 

How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

Less Than 35 Million 74 3.82%
 
35-50 Million 155 8.01%
 
51-65 Million 209 10.80%
 
66-80 Million 461 23.82%
 
81-95 Million 448 23.15%
 
96-110 Million 343 17.73%
 
111-125 Million 91 4.70%
 
126-140 Million 47 2.43%
 
141-155 Million 18 0.93%
 
More Than 155 Million 89 4.60%
 
Total:1,935
curl-6 on 22 August 2018
mZuzek said:
curl-6 said:

But to then go completely dark on it for the past 14+ months is just unfair to fans. They should have shown us something at this E3, at least a cinematic trailer to give us an idea of the direction they are taking with it. This silent treatment was one of the most toxic things about the Wii U era and they're doing it again.

Eh, I'm fine with it to be honest. I never expected it to release before 2019, and given Nintendo's current policy it makes sense we wouldn't see anything about it until then either. Maybe at the Game Awards. In the meantime, I'm happy with everything else.

It really, really isn't comparable to the Wii U era. Back then, we had a proper trailer for Breath of the Wild, showcasing what it would look like, what we could expect from some enemy encounters, and setting up a lot of things for speculation, and then that's all we had for two years. If Prime 4 goes two years without mention just like BotW did, it'll be nowhere near as bad because we know nothing about it anyway... it's essentially the same as knowing there's a Mario game in development, if that's all you know then it makes no sense to get all excited about it for no reason, since there's always a Mario game in development anyway and we know that. That's why Nintendo doesn't announce Mario games early, but with Prime 4, they had to. I'm fine with not knowing anything, because I'd rather only get hyped about it when it's closer to release, rather than spend over a year or two going crazy over how awesome this game will be and how much I can't have it.

Nintendo's current policy is fucking garbage though. This is actually worse than the Wii U era, at least then we actually saw with BOTW's reveal what it would look like and the basic direction they were going, at least they kept us updated with games like Xenoblade X and Bayonetta 2 well out from release with plenty of footage shown over a year before their release. This stupid "only show things 6 months away" approach is one of their shittiest policies ever, all it does is starve players of things to get excited for.



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curl-6 on 22 August 2018
mZuzek said:
curl-6 said:

Nintendo's current policy is fucking garbage though. This is actually worse than the Wii U era, at least then we actually saw with BOTW's reveal what it would look like and the basic direction they were going, at least they kept us updated with games like Xenoblade X and Bayonetta 2 well out from release with plenty of footage shown over a year before their release. This stupid "only show things 6 months away" approach is one of their shittiest policies ever, all it does is starve players of things to get excited for.

That's your opinion. Personally, I'd much rather have games announced closer to release than spend years in wait.

Just accept that not everyone sees things the same way as you.

I'm still gonna call out jerk behaviour when I see it. Keeping your fans in the dark for 14+ months on one of the most hyped titles you have coming is a horrible way to treat your fanbase.



curl-6 on 22 August 2018
mZuzek said:
curl-6 said:

I'm still gonna call out jerk behaviour when I see it. Keeping your fans in the dark for 14+ months on one of the most hyped titles you have coming is a horrible way to treat your fanbase.

Speak for yourself, I'm part of the fanbase too and I very much prefer the way they're doing things now. The BotW saga was far, far worse.

BOTW was a shitshow but MP4 is on track to be worse if they don't show it before the year's out. At least BOTW got a proper reveal, and the longest we went without a new look was 1.5 years. Still a horrific long time and a disgusting way to treat your fans, but MP4 had no proper reveal at all and is already 14 months in the red.



flashfire926 on 23 August 2018

I'm sorry but I'm with mZuzek on this one. I dont want the same shit shown over and over again. Show the game when it's ready, don't pretentiously announce things 5 years early and expect me to get excited. In some cases it's acceptable (e.g Bethesda revealing ES6 and Starfield just to not let anyone have the chance to say "they are turning their backs to single player gamers" or shenmue 3 because they needed kickstarter money), but most of the time absolutely not. I don't want this from Nintendo:



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

Keybladewielder on 23 August 2018

I think more than 100 million is possible, I'll go with 105 million.



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FarleyMcFirefly on 23 August 2018

I expect it to sell in the 95-110 million range. I HOPE it sells way, way more. It deserves it!



1doesnotsimply

FarleyMcFirefly on 23 August 2018
curl-6 said:
mZuzek said:

Speak for yourself, I'm part of the fanbase too and I very much prefer the way they're doing things now. The BotW saga was far, far worse.

BOTW was a shitshow but MP4 is on track to be worse if they don't show it before the year's out. At least BOTW got a proper reveal, and the longest we went without a new look was 1.5 years. Still a horrific long time and a disgusting way to treat your fans, but MP4 had no proper reveal at all and is already 14 months in the red.

Just the fact that it is in development is enough for me. I much prefer the way they are doing things with the Switch. I mean come on, Xenoblade, Mario Odyssey, Splatoon 2, announced and released in 2017. Smash and Pokemon announced and will release this year. It's so much better this way.

Imagine the backlash Nintendo would have gotten for announcing Metroid Samus Returns (announced and released same year) without announcing a Metroid Prime game. People would have bitched and moaned. They were kind of in a lose lose situation there.



1doesnotsimply

curl-6 on 23 August 2018
FarleyMcFirefly said:
curl-6 said:

BOTW was a shitshow but MP4 is on track to be worse if they don't show it before the year's out. At least BOTW got a proper reveal, and the longest we went without a new look was 1.5 years. Still a horrific long time and a disgusting way to treat your fans, but MP4 had no proper reveal at all and is already 14 months in the red.

Just the fact that it is in development is enough for me. I much prefer the way they are doing things with the Switch. I mean come on, Xenoblade, Mario Odyssey, Splatoon 2, announced and released in 2017. Smash and Pokemon announced and will release this year. It's so much better this way.

Imagine the backlash Nintendo would have gotten for announcing Metroid Samus Returns (announced and released same year) without announcing a Metroid Prime game. People would have bitched and moaned. They were kind of in a lose lose situation there.

All I'm saying is, more concrete stuff to look forward to and get excited about = more hype = more fun = better. Imagine how awesome it'd be if we got fantastic MP4 and Bayonetta 3 trailers at this E3.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 23 August 2018

BoseDK on 23 August 2018
zorg1000 said:
BoseDK said:

From March-July in 2017 it sold 4.8 million, this year it has sold 4 million in the same timeframe. So it's lagging by almost 20%.

That is a terrible comparison, you are completely ignoring the fact that March 2017 was a launch month which counters the lack of Jan/Feb sales.

2017 vs 2017 is the correct comparison.

circumstances are immaterial. My point that 2017 was the peak year for switch is not diminished by the fact that it was it's launch year and also had the most popular games you can find on a Nintendo console, those are just good reasons for why it was so. 2018 is probably the next best chance in all honesty if holiday period can provide a big enough boost, after the Pokemon and SSB crowd is also in there's not much left afterwards to push sales. We've seen this with Nintendo consoles time and again, with their sales dropping like a rock after a couple years on the market. Nintendo has never had the library to keep a console selling close to 15-20 million units for 5+ years. Hell mostly they can't even sell 10+ million for that long.



Miyamotoo on 23 August 2018
BoseDK said:
zorg1000 said:

That is a terrible comparison, you are completely ignoring the fact that March 2017 was a launch month which counters the lack of Jan/Feb sales.

2017 vs 2017 is the correct comparison.

circumstances are immaterial. My point that 2017 was the peak year for switch is not diminished by the fact that it was it's launch year and also had the most popular games you can find on a Nintendo console, those are just good reasons for why it was so. 2018 is probably the next best chance in all honesty if holiday period can provide a big enough boost, after the Pokemon and SSB crowd is also in there's not much left afterwards to push sales. We've seen this with Nintendo consoles time and again, with their sales dropping like a rock after a couple years on the market. Nintendo has never had the library to keep a console selling close to 15-20 million units for 5+ years. Hell mostly they can't even sell 10+ million for that long.

Thats your problem, you look at Switch like typical Nintendo home console, but fact is its not, its unified Nintendo platform. Switch will have all Nintendos handheld and all home console IPs on one platform, that wasnt relly case with past Nintendo platforms, thats why Switch will have full Pokemon, full Animal Crossing, Fire Emblem...that past home consoles didnt had, but in same time full 3D Zelda, 3D Mario, Metroid...with all that on mind and incrassing 3rd party support that looks much healthier than on some past Nintendo systems, so they will not have problem supporting Switch with new games, releases, revisions, price cuts, addons...5+ years with strong sales.

After this years Pokemon and SSB, Switch will have core Pokemon game, Animal Crossing, Metroid Prime, Fire Emblem, Pikmin, Lugis Mansion, new 3D Mario game, new 3D Zelda game, probably 2D Mario and 2D Zelda, probably MK9, new IPs and other old ones...new 3rd party exclusives similar to Bayonetta 3, Octopath Traveler, Daemon X Machina...3rd party games like Monster Hunter, Yokai Watch, some bigger 3rd party games..

I mean they even alone said they want Switch to have longer life span than 6 years of usual home console.