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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

SWORDF1SH said:
Well done Symbois. I think sales discussions should be here instead of the Nintendo bubble that is the Amazon thread. 

I find this comment surprising consideing how often you frequent the Amazon thread lol



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PortisheadBiscuit said:
SWORDF1SH said:
Well done Symbois. I think sales discussions should be here instead of the Nintendo bubble that is the Amazon thread. 

I find this comment surprising consideing how often you frequent the Amazon thread lol

Usually to bitch about inaccurate Amazon is :p

But seriously, I'm not saying don't comment there but to not use Amazon data in a vacuum. A lot of comments there unfortunately do. 



Great tracking for the month of April.



05/19/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 10 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-4) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 50 (+1) - 484.99$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 91 (-6) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 58 (-3) - 249.00$

PS4 : 10 points (-6) ; XBO : 52 points (-41) ; NS : 165 + 100 = 265 (-3) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 15 (-) - 399.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 25 (-) - 249.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 41 (-) - 249.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 48 (-) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-4) - 299.00$

PS4 : 170 + 140 = 310 points (-) ; XBO : 102 + 70 + 56 = 228 points (-) ; NS : 120 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (+2) - XBox One S 500Gb White - 10 (+44) - 199.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 20 (-1) - 399.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 21 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 64 (-1) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 75 (-10) - 299.00$
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 77 (-8) - 359.99$
7 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Monster Hunter World - 86 (R) - 449.99$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 89 (-16) - 299.99$
9 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 109 (+41) - 399.99$
10 (-1) - XBox One S 1 Tb Playerunknown's Battleground - 131 (-7) - 249.99$
11 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Kart 8 Bundle - 163 (R) - 359.99$
12 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 181 (-48) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-3) - XBox One S 500Gb Minecraft - 68 (-25) - 229.99$


PS4 : 165 + 160 + 66 + 62 + 46 = 499 points (+70) ; XBO : 190 + 88 + 35 + 10 = 323 points (-20) ; NS : 76 + 74 + 19 = 169 points (+1)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 569.0 points (+65.2) ; Month Average : 581.01 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 405.0 points (-1.4) ; Month Average : 428.90 points/day ; 0.74
3 - XBO : 410.2 points (-52.8) ; Month Average : 222.23 points/day ; 0.38



05/20/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 24 (+2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 57 (-7) - 484.99$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 81 (+10) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 58 (-3) - 249.00$

PS4 : 20 points (+10) ; XBO : 44 points (-8) ; NS : 160 + 104 = 264 (-1) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 15 (-) - 399.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 25 (-) - 249.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 41 (-) - 249.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 48 (-) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-4) - 299.00$

PS4 : 170 + 140 = 310 points (-) ; XBO : 102 + 70 + 56 = 228 points (-) ; NS : 120 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One S 500Gb White - 11 (-1) - 279.99$ (+80.00$)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 25 (-5) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 32 (-11) - 399.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 110 (-46) - 249.99$
5 (+3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 125 (-36) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 155 (-80) - 299.00$
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 163 (-86) - 359.99$
8 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Monster Hunter World - 173 (-87) - 449.99$

Out of Top 100 :

9 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 109 (+41) - 399.99$
10 (-1) - XBox One S 1 Tb Playerunknown's Battleground - 131 (-7) - 249.99$
11 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Kart 8 Bundle - 163 (R) - 359.99$
12 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 181 (-48) - 499.99$

PS4 : 150 + 135 + 38 + 14 = 337 points (-162) ; XBO : 185 + 46 = 231 points (-92) ; NS : 23 + 19 = 42 points (-127)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 415.0 points (-154.0) ; Month Average : 572.71 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 277.2 points (-127.8) ; Month Average : 421.32 points/day ; 0.74 (-)
3 - XBO : 311.8 points (-98.4) ; Month Average : 226.71 points/day ; 0.40 (+0.02)



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Wow, what caused Gamestop to freefall? A bunch of new pre-orders for games?

Will be interesting to see what impact if any Amazon's failure to have practically any PS4 stock for this month will have.



So much work goes into this... mad props for keeping it up.



Wow Switch dropped below XBO in the dailies and everything nosediving hard! What happened to cause all this ruckus?



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Wow Switch dropped below XBO in the dailies and everything nosediving hard! What happened to cause all this ruckus?

We're at the slowest part of the year ... 

Spring/Summer has always had the lowest hardware sales during any period ... 

OP, did you make sure to adjust your model to be consistent with previous data ? 



I mean, it was shockingly accurate ratio-wise for April, so I don't think any adjustments were needed.