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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

05/12/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (+11) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 36 (-21) - TP
3 (+3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 45 (-7) - TP
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 52 (-7) - 484.50$
5 (+2) - Xbox One S 500Gb White - 63 (+11) - 264.95$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 77 (-16) - TP
7 (-2) - Xbox One S 500Gb Hot Wheels - 86 (-33) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 97 (-34) - 393.85$

PS4 : 62 + 24 = 86 points (-30) ; XBO : 49 + 38 + 15 = 102 points (-35) ; NS : 140 + 80 = 220 (-30) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 8 (-) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 13 (-1) - 499.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 19 (+3) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 21 (+6) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 96 (R) - 299.99$

PS4 : 200 + 175 = 375 points (+5) ; XBO : 150 + 120 = 270 points (+2) ; NS : 185 + 110 = 295 points (+17)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 20 (+1) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 60 (-8) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 61 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 85 (+16) - 299.00$
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 123 (-1) - 359.99$
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle - 165 (-59) - 359.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 191 (-25) - 399.99$

PS4 : 165 + 92 + 90 = 347 points (-6) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 66 + 39 + 18 = 123 points (-15)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 490.8 points (-29.0) ; Month Average : 618.05 points/day
2 - NS : 358.0 points (-34.6) ; Month Average : 447.69 points/day
3 - XBO : 135.6 points (-27.6) ; Month Average : 170.00 points/day



Around the Network
Symbios63 said:
05/12/18 :

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 490.8 points (-29.0) ; Month Average : 618.05 points/day
2 - NS : 358.0 points (-34.6) ; Month Average : 447.69 points/day
3 - XBO : 135.6 points (-27.6) ; Month Average : 170.00 points/day

Summer malaise kicking in with the numbers getting lower?



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

Madword said:
Symbios63 said:
05/12/18 :

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 490.8 points (-29.0) ; Month Average : 618.05 points/day
2 - NS : 358.0 points (-34.6) ; Month Average : 447.69 points/day
3 - XBO : 135.6 points (-27.6) ; Month Average : 170.00 points/day

Summer malaise kicking in with the numbers getting lower?

Partially this, partially Amazon having no Switch (neon) or PS4 (most models) stocks, and probably some people wanting to wait what E3 will offer before they choose.



05/13/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 30 (+6) - 299.00$ - In stock May 17th
3 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 52 (-) - 484.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 60 (-15) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Xbox One S 500Gb White - 64 (-1) - 259.00$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 77 (-16) - TP
7 (-2) - Xbox One S 500Gb Hot Wheels - 86 (-33) - TP

PS4 : 41 = 41 points (-45) ; XBO : 49 + 37 = 86 points (-16) ; NS : 135 + 92 = 227 (+7) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 7 (+1) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 12 (+1) - 499.99$
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (+6) - 299.00$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 16 (+3) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 96 (R) - 299.99$

PS4 : 200 + 180 = 380 points (+5) ; XBO : 155 + 135 = 290 points (+20) ; NS : 190 + 140 = 330 points (+35)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 17 (+3) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 45 (+15) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 65 (-4) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 74 (+11) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 98 (+25) - 359.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle - 185 (-20) - 359.99$
7 (R) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 192 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 191 (-25) - 399.99$

PS4 : 170 + 106 + 86 = 362 points (+15) ; XBO : 5 points (+5) ; NS : 78 + 54 + 8 = 140 points (+17)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 470.8 points (-20.0) ; Month Average : 606.72 points/day
2 - NS : 387.6 points (+29.6) ; Month Average : 436.17 points/day
3 - XBO : 131.8 points (-3.8) ; Month Average : 167.06 points/day




Switch coming closer to the PS4 again - though Sonys console is seriously hampered by a lack of supply on Amazon. Neon Switch may be sold out too, but the situation ain't nearly as bad as with the PS4



Around the Network
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Switch coming closer to the PS4 again - though Sonys console is seriously hampered by a lack of supply on Amazon. Neon Switch may be sold out too, but the situation ain't nearly as bad as with the PS4

You are right about amazon. I think PS4 would be around 100 points higher and switch around 40 points higher with stock right now...

Though if we compare to the beginning of the month, I would say the biggest part of the PS4 drop is due to gamestop (it went from 600+ points to around 350).

I think the "God of War effect" going away is a big part of it as well... 



05/14/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (+9) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 57 (-5) - 494.40$
4 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 62 (R) - 249.00$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 63 (-3) - TP
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 64 (R) - 249.00$
7 (-2) - Xbox One S 500Gb White - 94 (-30) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 38 points (-3) ; XBO : 44 + 39 + 37 + 7 = 127 points (+41) ; NS : 140 + 110 = 250 (+23) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 7 (-) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 13 (-1) - 499.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 16 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-4) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 180 = 375 points (-5) ; XBO : 150 + 135 = 285 points (-5) ; NS : 190 + 120 = 310 points (-20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 11 (+6) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 35 (+10) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 51 (+14) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 73 (+1) - 299.00$
5 (R) - XBox One S 500Gb Minecraft - 84 (R) - 229.99$
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 121 (-23) - 359.99$
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle - 161 (+24) - 359.99$
8 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle 2 - 162 (R) - 359.99$
9 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 176 (+16) - 499.99$
10 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 500GB COD-IW - 183 (R) - 299.99$
11 (R) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 192 (R) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 191 (-25) - 399.99$

PS4 : 185 + 125 + 100 + 9 = 419 points (+57) ; XBO : 68 + 13 + 5 = 86 points (+81) ; NS : 78 + 40 + 20 + 20 = 158 points (+18)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 524.4 points (+53.6) ; Month Average : 600.84 points/day
2 - NS : 420.0 points (+32.4) ; Month Average : 435.01 points/day
3 - XBO : 244.6 points (+112.8) ; Month Average : 172.6 points/day



For those wondering, Several XBO models went back to promotion price (249 or 229$).
I don't know about NS and PS4.

I will be away for work and unable to do updates for few days (2 or 3). If someone is willing to get the ranking (I can score later), here are the links :

https://www.amazon.com/best-sellers-video-games/zgbs/videogames

https://www.bestbuy.com/site/searchpage.jsp?cp=1&searchType=search&nrp=15&seeAll=&browsedCategory=abcat0700000&qp=newreleases_facet%3DReleases~New%20Releases&ks=960&sp=-bestsellingsort%20skuidsaas&sc=Global&list=y&usc=All%20Categories&type=page&id=pcat17071&iht=n&st=categoryid%24abcat0700000&lid=Products%3A%20All%20New%20Releases

https://www.gamestop.com/browse?nav=28-xu0,134f 

 

Gamestop list is updated at 12pm here in France (GMT+2).



Symbios63 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Switch coming closer to the PS4 again - though Sonys console is seriously hampered by a lack of supply on Amazon. Neon Switch may be sold out too, but the situation ain't nearly as bad as with the PS4

You are right about amazon. I think PS4 would be around 100 points higher and switch around 40 points higher with stock right now...

Though if we compare to the beginning of the month, I would say the biggest part of the PS4 drop is due to gamestop (it went from 600+ points to around 350).

I think the "God of War effect" going away is a big part of it as well... 

Definitely this. And until Detroit there's not much big incoming in the next weeks, so it may well drop down a bit more. And after that, Spiderman is the next big release we know about, which will come in Fall. There may be other big games in between, but we don't know them or their release dates yet.

I expect the PS4 dropping below 200k in the weeklies second or third week of May - something that didn't even happen once last year.



Symbios63 said:

05/14/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (+9) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 57 (-5) - 494.40$
4 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 62 (R) - 249.00$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 63 (-3) - TP
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 64 (R) - 249.00$
7 (-2) - Xbox One S 500Gb White - 94 (-30) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 38 points (-3) ; XBO : 44 + 39 + 37 + 7 = 127 points (+41) ; NS : 140 + 110 = 250 (+23) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 7 (-) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 13 (-1) - 499.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 16 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-4) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 180 = 375 points (-5) ; XBO : 150 + 135 = 285 points (-5) ; NS : 190 + 120 = 310 points (-20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 11 (+6) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 35 (+10) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 51 (+14) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 73 (+1) - 299.00$
5 (R) - XBox One S 500Gb Minecraft - 84 (R) - 229.99$
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 121 (-23) - 359.99$
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle - 161 (+24) - 359.99$
8 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle 2 - 162 (R) - 359.99$
9 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 176 (+16) - 499.99$
10 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 500GB COD-IW - 183 (R) - 299.99$
11 (R) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 192 (R) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 191 (-25) - 399.99$

PS4 : 185 + 125 + 100 + 9 = 419 points (+57) ; XBO : 68 + 13 + 5 = 86 points (+81) ; NS : 78 + 40 + 20 + 20 = 158 points (+18)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 524.4 points (+53.6) ; Month Average : 600.84 points/day
2 - NS : 420.0 points (+32.4) ; Month Average : 435.01 points/day
3 - XBO : 244.6 points (+112.8) ; Month Average : 172.6 points/day



For those wondering, Several XBO models went back to promotion price (249 or 229$).
I don't know about NS and PS4.


I will be away for work and unable to do updates for few days (2 or 3). If someone is willing to get the ranking (I can score later), here are the links :

https://www.amazon.com/best-sellers-video-games/zgbs/videogames

https://www.bestbuy.com/site/searchpage.jsp?cp=1&searchType=search&nrp=15&seeAll=&browsedCategory=abcat0700000&qp=newreleases_facet%3DReleases~New%20Releases&ks=960&sp=-bestsellingsort%20skuidsaas&sc=Global&list=y&usc=All%20Categories&type=page&id=pcat17071&iht=n&st=categoryid%24abcat0700000&lid=Products%3A%20All%20New%20Releases

https://www.gamestop.com/browse?nav=28-xu0,134f 

 

Gamestop list is updated at 12pm here in France (GMT+2).

@bolded: For the Switch it's probably due to Donkey Kong and Hyrule Warriors, plus the announcement of Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate.

For the PS4, I don't know exactly. But it looks like many are upgrading their consoles, considering that the Pro is largely in front at Gamestop and only slightly behind at Best Buy, and the only one available at Amazon.



05/17/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 10 (+11) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 23 (-8) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 50 (+7) - 484.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 55 (+7) - 249.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 73 (-10) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 64 (R) - 249.00$
7 (-2) - Xbox One S 500Gb White - 94 (-30) - TP

PS4 : 28 points (-10) ; XBO : 52 + 46 = 98 points (-29) ; NS : 165 + 106 = 271 (+21) points


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-5) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 15 (-8) - 399.00$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-14) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 25 (-9) - 249.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves - 41 (R) - 249.99$
6 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 48 (-35) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-4) - 299.00$

PS4 : 170 + 140 = 310 points (-65) ; XBO : 102 + 70 + 56 = 228 points (-57) ; NS : 120 points (-90)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 14 (-3) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 32 (+3) - 399.99$
3 (+2) - XBox One S 500Gb Minecraft - 43 (+31) - 229.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 53 (+20) - 299.00$
5 (+6) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 66 (+126) - 249.99$
6 (-3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 80 (-29) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Mario Odyssey Bundle - 91 (+30) - 359.99$
8 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 116 (R) - 399.99$
9 (R) - XBox One S 500Gb Forza Horizon 3 - 148 (R) - 229.99$
10 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle - 172 (-11) - 359.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Zelda Bundle 2 - 162 (R) - 359.99$
9 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 176 (+16) - 499.99$
10 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 500GB COD-IW - 183 (R) - 299.99$

PS4 : 180 + 135 + 72 + 43 = 430 points (+11) ; XBO : 108 + 86 + 27 = 221 points (+135) ; NS : 98 + 60 + 15 = 173 points (+15)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 514.4 points (-10.0) ; Month Average : 595.08 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 413.8 points (-6.2) ; Month Average : 433.60 points/day ; 0.73
3 - XBO : 345.0 points (+100.4) ; Month Average : 184.09 points/day ; 0.31

Last edited by Symbios63 - on 18 May 2018