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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Hardware revision shares (Feb 8):

PS4:

Slim: 84*0.8+175*02+74=176.2 61%
Pro: 36*08+195*0.2+45=112.8 39%

Xbox One:

S: (50+5)*0.8+ 50*0.2+0=54 18.8%
X: 0+165*0.2+102+88+66+32=233 81.2%

Slim+S 230.2/Pro+X 345.8 40%/60%

X Fallout 76 sale is really pushing the box a lot

I've been saying this for ages.  Original X1 buyers are ready to do the upgrade, they just don't wanna pay $500 for it.  

For the life of me I do not understand what the heck MS is waiting to do a permanent price cut on the X1X.



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chakkra said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Hardware revision shares (Feb 8):

PS4:

Slim: 84*0.8+175*02+74=176.2 61%
Pro: 36*08+195*0.2+45=112.8 39%

Xbox One:

S: (50+5)*0.8+ 50*0.2+0=54 18.8%
X: 0+165*0.2+102+88+66+32=233 81.2%

Slim+S 230.2/Pro+X 345.8 40%/60%

X Fallout 76 sale is really pushing the box a lot

I've been saying this for ages.  Original X1 buyers are ready to do the upgrade, they just don't wanna pay $500 for it.  

For the life of me I do not understand what the heck MS is waiting to do a permanent price cut on the X1X.

Agreed. I'd even take one of the price was right full well knowing that the neXtbox is coming next year at the latest.

 

Excellent thread. Hope you learnt a lot during the holiday season and implement it this year!



02/09/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (-) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (-1) - 299.95$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 57 (-6) - 219.00$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 77 (-12) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 95 (+1) - 233.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 82 + 24 = 106 points (-14) ; XBO : 44 + 6 = 50 points (-5) ; NS : 150 + 90 = 240 points (-4)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (-1) - 399.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 6 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 12 (-2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 42 (+9) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 185 = 375 points (+5) ; XBO : 155 + 68 = 223 points (+8) ; NS : 210 + 175 = 385 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 42 (-)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 84 (-11)
3 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 D - 89 (-26)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 94 (-16)
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 110 (-25)
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 112 (-1)
7 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White D - 159 (-22)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 58 + 45 = 103 points (-16) ; XBO : 62 + 46 + 21 = 129 point (-57) ; NS : 110 + 68 = 178 points (-25)

Overall :

1 - NS : 447.0 points (-31.2) ; Month Average : 443.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 262.8 points (-26.2) ; Month Average : 269.8 points/day ; 0.61 (-)
3 - XBO : 277.7 points (-77.2) ; Month Average : 215.5 points/day ; 0.49 (+0.03)



With that gap, either the Switch is selling significantly faster than last year or both PS4 and XBO dropped down significantly



Hardware revision shares (Feb 8):

PS4:

Slim: 82*0.8+185*02+58= 160.6 61%
Pro: 24*08+190*0.2+45= 102.2 39%

Xbox One:

S: (44+6)*0.8+ 68*0.2+0= 53.8 23.2%
X: 0+155*0.2+62+46+21= 160 74.8%

Slim+S 214.4/Pro+X 262.2 45%/55%

X Fallout 76 is dropping of a bit, equalizing the Slim/S and the Pro/X again a bit more



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Bofferbrauer2 said:
With that gap, either the Switch is selling significantly faster than last year or both PS4 and XBO dropped down significantly

Or a bit of both?



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

I agree with peachbuggy. Switch is probably up YoY while the other two are down.



Still early days yet, no need to panic about Xbox and ps4... I think most people expect them to be down unless they drop the price and I think that Sony think why bother when people buying consoles this late in the gen are not going to be spending that much on the accessories and games so I think we can accept that except for the odd occasion Sony will be looking to keep profits high and that means it will drop by in yearly sales.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

jason1637 said:
I agree with peachbuggy. Switch is probably up YoY while the other two are down.

Even then, didn't PS4 win February NPD last year? If yes then the PS4 and the Switch must still have moved a lot



Did X1 have a huge amount of pre-order points for February? PS4 has a healthy lead over X1 by 50 points on Amazon and 150 points by Best Buy, yet in terms of overall points the X1 is ahead and I can't really figure out why.