In progress NPD predicting tool

Symbios63

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Symbios63 on 10 February 2019

Megiddo said:
Did X1 have a huge amount of pre-order points for February? PS4 has a healthy lead over X1 by 50 points on Amazon and 150 points by Best Buy, yet in terms of overall points the X1 is ahead and I can't really figure out why.

PS4 formula : Amazon*0.8 + BB*0.2 + GS*1

XBO formula : (Amazon*0.8 + BB*0.2 + GS*1)*1.3

The 1.3 factor comes from the fact XBO were always undertracked by the tools during first 3/4 month. Results have been better with this change.

ps : There are no preorder for February.

Symbios63

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Symbios63 on 10 February 2019

02/10/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (-) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 30 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (-) - 299.95$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 59 (-2) - 219.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 75 (+2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 97 (-2) - 233.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 82 + 26 = 108 points (+2) ; XBO : 42 + 4 = 46 points (-4) ; NS : 150 + 92 = 242 points (+2)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 8 (-3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 10 (+2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 40 (+2) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 175 = 365 points (-10) ; XBO : 165 + 72 = 237 points (+14) ; NS : 210 + 185 = 395 points (+10)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 41 (+1)
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 96 (-2)
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 104 (-20)
4 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 D - 108 (-19)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 123 (-11)
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White D - 148 (+11)
7 (N) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 160 (N)
8 (-3) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 185 (-75)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 56 + 39 = 95 points (-8) ; XBO : 47 + 27 + 8 = 82 point (-47) ; NS : 110 + 49 + 21 = 180 points (+2)

Overall :

1 - NS : 452.6 points (+5.6) ; Month Average : 444.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 254.4 points (-8.4) ; Month Average : 267.9 points/day ; 0.60 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 216.1 points (-61.6) ; Month Average : 215.6 points/day ; 0.48 (-0.01)

Bofferbrauer2

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Bofferbrauer2 on 12 February 2019

Hardware revision shares (Feb 10):

PS4:

Slim: 82*0.8+190*02+56= 159.6 62.7%
Pro: 26*08+175*0.2+39= 94.8 37.3%

Xbox One:

S: (42+4)*0.8+ 72*0.2+0= 51 30.7%
X: 0+165*0.2+47+27+8= 115 69.3%

Slim+S 210.6/Pro+X 209.8 50.1%/49.9%

X Fallout 76 is dropping of a lot, totally equalizing the Slim/S and the Pro/X again. The Slim is also very slowly growing it's share again, almost reaching 2/3 of the PS4 sales.

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Symbios63

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Symbios63 on 12 February 2019

02/12/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (+2) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 25 (+5) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 34 (+1) - 299.95$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 72 (-13) - 219.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 83 (-8) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 96 (+1) - 233.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 84 + 18 = 102 points (-6) ; XBO : 29 + 5 = 34 points (-12) ; NS : 160 + 102 = 262 points (+20)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-3) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-4) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (-3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 15 (-5) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 52 (-12) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 160 = 330 points (-35) ; XBO : 140 + 49 = 189 points (-48) ; NS : 195 + 175 = 370 points (-25)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 29 (+12)
2 (+5) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 31 (+129)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 73 (+23)
4 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 D - 96 (+12)
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White D - 120 (+28)
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 135 (-12)
7 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 160 (+25)
8 (-5) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 166 (-62)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 78 + 33 = 111 points (+16) ; XBO : 56 + 41 + 21 = 118 point (+36) ; NS : 140 + 135 + 18 = 293 points (+113)

Overall :

1 - NS : 576.6 points (+126.0) ; Month Average : 466.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 258.6 points (+4.2) ; Month Average : 265.7 points/day ; 0.57 (-0.03)
3 - XBO : 237.9 points (+21.8) ; Month Average : 219.3 points/day ; 0.47 (-0.01)

xMetroid

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xMetroid on 12 February 2019

Is the Switch promotion available ?

Symbios63

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Symbios63 on 12 February 2019

xMetroid said:
Is the Switch promotion available ?

Gamestop preorders are... Release date is february 15th I believe.

Symbios63

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Symbios63 on 13 February 2019

02/13/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 37 (-3) - 299.95$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 72 (-) - 219.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 79 (+4) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 96 (+1) - 233.00$

PS4 : 78 + 22 = 100 points (-2) ; XBO : 29 points (-5) ; NS : 160 + 100 = 260 points (-2)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (+4) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 8 (+3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 11 (+4) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 52 (-) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 175 = 365 points (+35) ; XBO : 160 + 49 = 209 points (+20) ; NS : 200 + 180 = 380 points (+10)

- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 17 (+14)
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 29 (-)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 66 (+7)
4 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 D - 76 (+20)
5 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 104 (+56)
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 132 (+3)
7 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 153 (+13)

Out of Top 100 :

5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White D - 120 (+28)

PS4 : 86 + 35 = 121 points (+10) ; XBO : 76 + 49 = 125 point (+7) ; NS : 170 + 140 + 24 = 334 points (+41)

Overall :

1 - NS : 618.0 points (+41.4) ; Month Average : 480.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 274.0 points (+15.4) ; Month Average : 266.5 points/day ; 0.55 (-0.02)
3 - XBO : 247.0 points (+9.1) ; Month Average : 221.8 points/day ; 0.46 (-0.01)

Symbios63

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Symbios63 on 14 February 2019

02/14/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 14 (-3) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 27 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 39 (-2) - 299.95$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 58 (+14) - 219.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 65 (+14) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 + 36 = 110 points (+10) ; XBO : 43 points (+14) ; NS : 145 + 98 = 243 points (-17)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 6 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 9 (+2) - 399.99$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (-2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 47 (+5) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 185 + 165 = 350 points (-15) ; XBO : 170 + 58 = 228 points (+19) ; NS : 205 + 180 = 385 points (+5)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 15 (+2)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 36 (-7)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 61 (+5)
4 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 D - 71 (+5)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 123 (+9)
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 136 (+17)
7 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 137 (-33)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 90 + 39 = 129 points (+8) ; XBO : 80 + 32 = 112 point (-13) ; NS : 175 + 125 + 33 = 333 points (-1)

Overall :

1 - NS : 604.4 points (-13.6) ; Month Average : 490.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 287.0 points (+13.0) ; Month Average : 268.2 points/day ; 0.55 (-)
3 - XBO : 249.6 points (+2.6) ; Month Average : 224.1 points/day ; 0.46 (-)

jason1637

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jason1637 on 15 February 2019

Starting February 17, you can save $50 on any Xbox One bundle, including Xbox One X, the world’s most powerful console, and Xbox One S, the best value in gaming and entertainment. https://t.co/G01Fm9HPAc
— Xbox Wire (@XboxWire) February 15, 2019

Bofferbrauer2

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Bofferbrauer2 on 15 February 2019

jason1637 said:

Starting February 17, you can save $50 on any Xbox One bundle, including Xbox One X, the world’s most powerful console, and Xbox One S, the best value in gaming and entertainment. https://t.co/G01Fm9HPAc
— Xbox Wire (@XboxWire) February 15, 2019

Considering the Fallout 76 bundle is currently 100$ off, this would effectively mean the X would become 50$ more expensive. But let's see how that will affect the ratios

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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