You seem to be forgetting about Pokemon which we are all told is coming to the Switch possibly next year and is basically the biggest exclusive on any console sales wise.

If Pokemon comes out in November of 2018 then the Switch is gonna win Holiday 2018.

2018? 8.2 million +20 million is 28. million. I think the switch could be happy to sell 15 million in 2018 and same for 2019, so more reallistic is 12-14 million......

https://www.vg247.com/2017/10/19/pokemon-ultra-sun-and-moon-will-be-the-last-core-pokemon-game-for-3ds/

http://www.ign.com/articles/2017/06/13/e3-2017-a-core-pokemon-rpg-is-in-development-for-nintendo-switch

Dont forget Halo 6^^ Normally next year ther should be a new Halo Game if they hold up to their 3 years Production circle. And my Secret Tip State of deacy 2 could be amazing!

People can buy more than two products. Plus Nintendo has great library of casual friendly titles. Games like 2D Mario, Pokemon, Mario Kart, Animal Crossing, Smash Bros, the various party games not to mention even 3D Mario have all been able to reach fairly large audiences. Sony themselves admitted that many people who buy the Switch have a PS4, indicating that people are buying Switch's as a portable companion to their stationary systems. Nintendo handhelds have had a history of managing to sell well despite competition from more graphics heavy stationary system, the reason has of course been because of Nintendo's exclusives and portability (which positions differently compared to the stationary systems; making them companions to one another); I can forsee many PS4, Xbox One, and PC gamers picking up a Switch to compliment their stationary systems (much like PS2/XB/GC gamers picked up GBA, PS3/XB360/Wii gamers picked up DS, and PS4/XBONE/WiiU gamers picked up 3DS).

Also, graphics, while important, are typically overblown. The PS4 Pro and Xbox One X, which are the most graphically powerful consoles, are obtaining fractions of the sales of the PS4 Slim, Xbox One S and Switch. Now many will point to PS4 outdoing the Xbox One because it was more powerful, but there were far more factors at play there. The biggest one was price ($500 versus $400), not to mention the horrible press MS received after initially announcing Xbox One, which really soured that particular line of consoles in the eyes of customers.On top of that Sony marketed the system in a much more global manner, allowing them to take markets like Europe and Japan. My point is that there is a lot more than graphics that will entice console gamers. But even when considering the graphics argument, Switch is the most powerful handheld and it (along with PSP) have the smallest graphical gaps between their stationary counterparts compared to other portables; put simply a handheld device capable of producing this type of graphics in games at $300 has never happened before. 

They are at 8.2 millions...at November 3rd, not end of december as you're implying here (we're not even mid december, even, but well, you corrected yourself o that one in your following post). in other words there are still 9 weeks to come this year, and among those all the heavy hitting weeks. Nintendo also traditionally does better in december than they do in november. You could count on an additional 2 millions in the US alone until year's end, and the missing 4 millions should come without too much hassle from the rest of the world outside of US. 300-400k for the best weeks in november and december would even have been just okay at best for the Wii U at it's height, 700k-1M would be much more realistic

Yes, January and February are not the strongest months, but by that time the Switch will be above 12 million, so 14 million is very possible, even 15 if december goes very well. 

12-14M in 2018? Even without Smash/Pokemon/Metroid Prime 4 that would be a pretty weak result for the console, considering this year will beat that while having been supply constrained for half the year around the globe and still does in some part, especially Japan. Nintendo themselves forecasted 22-30M, so you really think they will only do half of that? According to Nintendos forecast I was even lowballing with "just" 20 million sold, and the Switch will definitely not drop off a cliff next year with all the game announcements that are coming in practically at daily basis

The graphics drum is sounding quite hollow these days too.

The depth and detail of graphics is far outstripping the ease to produce them, those triple A games are far more of a risk, because the graphics budgets these days are eyewatering.

Compare that with DS games and their gfx budgets were 1/10th of an xbone and ps4 title. Massively boosting profit margins.

People don't like loot crates and pay to win, I get that.

People don't want ever increasing costs of games, I get that.

People want ever increasing depth of graphics, far outstripping the ability to create them at a reasonable cost. But don't want to pay for it, I get that, but developers don't.

They don't get any of them, so while there will be standout gfx monster games, expect those companies to switch higher risk new IPs to a cheaper to produce console if it has a good install base.

If switch hits 30m units it won't be ignored, and it's increased profitability (based on lower production costs and same price games) will be very attractive to developers outside of their very marquee games.

So the confirmation from Nintendo today is that Switch has sold 10m in 9 months.

https://twitter.com/NintendoAmerica/status/940566931987423232/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fgamrconnect.vgchartz.com%2Fthread.php%3Fid%3D233543%26page%3D1%2317

I think anyone still arguing this fail notion are going to end up like the same mob who argued Wii would stop selling and fail.

The console is getting more third party support than I ever imagine.

I believe that we will get a nice picture of its future after this holiday season.

yes ok. are implying established accounts can't or don't troll? man just scroll past any future comment you see from me.