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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Super Mario Oddessy+Switch Sales Prediction: NPD

palou said:
Slarvax said:
400k for Switch, < 900k for Mario.

Actually, thinking about it, what do we do if it sells exactly 900k?

Made a bet with conditions that aren't defined on the entire domain...

Well, my point is that it won't hit 900k, so you win if it does.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

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tbone51 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

People are being insane with Mario Odyssey.
Remember we talk about one week, and the game will have legs in November/December.

Unless you expect 20-25 million lifetime, launch numbers won't be THAT impressive (>1m).

Also 500-600k for Switch is pretty bold too, but i guess everyone predict what they want, we'll see i guess.

Do you have zelda numbers for comparison? I kno botw was an entire month but still. YSO in japan even has smo being predicted higher than normal..... The hype with switch hype is higher than ever imo

Sorry if late.

[NSW][WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of The Wild (2017) – 1,385,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Tri Force Heroes (2015) – 85,000 (solo retail)
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: A link Between Worlds (2013) – 405,000
[WII] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Swords (2011) – 625,000
[NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks (2009) < 650,000
[NDS] Legend Of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass (2007) – 263,000
[WII] The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (2006) – 412,000
[GBA] The Legend of Zelda: The Minish Cap (2005) – 217,000
[NGC] The Legend of Zelda: FOUR SWORDS (2004)- 155,000
[NGC] The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker (2003)- 826,000



Ryng_Tolu said:
tbone51 said:

Do you have zelda numbers for comparison? I kno botw was an entire month but still. YSO in japan even has smo being predicted higher than normal..... The hype with switch hype is higher than ever imo

Sorry if late.

[NSW][WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of The Wild (2017) – 1,385,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Tri Force Heroes (2015) – 85,000 (solo retail)
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: A link Between Worlds (2013) – 405,000
[WII] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Swords (2011) – 625,000
[NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks (2009) < 650,000
[NDS] Legend Of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass (2007) – 263,000
[WII] The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (2006) – 412,000
[GBA] The Legend of Zelda: The Minish Cap (2005) – 217,000
[NGC] The Legend of Zelda: FOUR SWORDS (2004)- 155,000
[NGC] The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker (2003)- 826,000

Great work, if SMO is anything similar to botw then its possible that itll be beyond expectations. Possibility of 1.5mil?? O.o



tbone51 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Sorry if late.

[NSW][WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of The Wild (2017) – 1,385,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Tri Force Heroes (2015) – 85,000 (solo retail)
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: A link Between Worlds (2013) – 405,000
[WII] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Swords (2011) – 625,000
[NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks (2009) < 650,000
[NDS] Legend Of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass (2007) – 263,000
[WII] The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (2006) – 412,000
[GBA] The Legend of Zelda: The Minish Cap (2005) – 217,000
[NGC] The Legend of Zelda: FOUR SWORDS (2004)- 155,000
[NGC] The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker (2003)- 826,000

Great work, if SMO is anything similar to botw then its possible that itll be beyond expectations. Possibility of 1.5mil?? O.o

3D Mario > 3D Zelda



tbone51 said:

Great work, if SMO is anything similar to botw then its possible that itll be beyond expectations. Possibility of 1.5mil?? O.o

1) 5 weeks VS 1

2) Switch + Wii U VS Switch alone

 

1.5 million first week in the US alone would be absolutely absurd. Like... just no. The game will have legs in November and December, so if it sells 1.5 million first week, what are we gonna see by the end of 2017? 3/4 million? in the USA alone, only in 2017? Naaaaaaaaah man.

 

1 million would be already insane.



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AngryLittleAlchemist said:
20k for Switch

150k for Mario



Ryng_Tolu said:
tbone51 said:

Great work, if SMO is anything similar to botw then its possible that itll be beyond expectations. Possibility of 1.5mil?? O.o

1) 5 weeks VS 1

2) Switch + Wii U VS Switch alone.

On the other hand.

1) Bundle

2) Bigger userbase (than launch)

In conclusion, no one can really make an accurate prediction



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

Patcher is predicting a 1:1 tie ratio.



Paul said:
Patcher is predicting a 1:1 tie ratio.

Source o.o



620k for Mario
200k for Switch.