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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Super Mario Oddessy+Switch Sales Prediction: NPD

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

People are being insane with Mario Odyssey.
Remember we talk about one week, and the game will have legs in November/December.

Unless you expect 20-25 million lifetime, launch numbers won't be THAT impressive (>1m).

Also 500-600k for Switch is pretty bold too, but i guess everyone predict what they want, we'll see i guess.

Seen how well both Switch consoles and especially Super Mario Odyssey are doing on Amazon US? SMO has the Top spot for several weeks now, the SMO Bundle was in the top 30 too for some weeks until it sold out recently and the grey Switch is constantly in the Top 10; too, while the Neon goes a bit back and forth because of supply issues but still far above even the best-selling PS4 console.

On the Yearly Amazon Sales chart SMO is already on the sixt spot, behind 3 PS4 Gift cards, MK8DX and BotW, meaning it outsold everything else there before even releasing! Believe me, SMO launch will be massive!

That said, my prediction is:

Switch: 485k

SMO: 1.12M (including bundles and digital)

Seems like my SMO prediction was right on target: http://www.vgchartz.com/article/270048/super-mario-odyssey-sells-over-11-million-units-in-the-us-in-5-days-switch-sales-top-26-million-units-in-the-us/



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Seems like most people here got it wrong XD



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

PAOerfulone said:
620k for Mario
200k for Switch.

In my defense, I mistook the thread question as what they would do at launch rather than the entire month.

But, still, looks like I was waaay off, especially with Mario. He damn near doubled my prediction!



Nautilus said:
Seems like most people here got it wrong XD

NPD will only count for 3 days, and no digital, this counts for 5 days with digital. I also hope NPD shows the bundle totals.

Last edited by Slarvax - on 02 November 2017

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Slarvax said:
Nautilus said:
Seems like most people here got it wrong XD

NPD will only count for 3 days, and no digital, this counts for 5 da ys with digital. I also hope NPD shows the bundle totals.

Isnt those numbers also for 4 days?Up until 31th october?I dont think one day will make that difference.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

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We already know Mario sold more 1.1 million in 5 days.

Oct 27 ~ 31 are 5 days.