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Forums - Sales Discussion - June NPD prediction thread (who will win this months NPD). PS4 Wins (leaked results in OP)

 

Which console will win this month's NPD?

Xbox One 27 4.17%
 
PS4 545 84.10%
 
Nintendo Switch 76 11.73%
 
Total:648
KBG29 on 19 July 2017

That turned out even better than expected. That $249.99 price + Gold PS4 combo moved a decent amount of units. It will be very interesting to see how well they hold on in July and August.

PS4 is on pace for its best year ever. There will no doubt be price cuts this holiday once the 2100 & 7100 arrive world wide. Hope to see a PSVR price cut as well. $499.99 for a PS4 + PSVR this holiday should be very possible.

Next year Sony has great games, and a wide open slate for hardware revisions and price reductions again. Going to be a very interesting tale end to this generation.



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Lafiel on 19 July 2017
jal356 said:
barneystinson69 said:

I'm sorry for my skepticism, but those PS4 numbers seem way too high, though this is currently the best we've got. Hopefully we get something soon, but thanks for posting what you have.

I can't post a link, I got these through a friend. I do track this information. I have zero incentive to come on this forum and make up random numbers.

The PS4 number is very high indeed, the gold edition w/ 1TB and $250 price tag drove massive sales. Despite Sony's guidance of y/y declines in shipments it appears that they are on track to grow hardware sales again this year.

as NPD has been known to give out slightly different sets of numbers to identify leaks/leakers I'd advise you to "anonymize" the numbers, by writing ~380k instead of 381,196 etc

maybe it's also smart to add/substract a few k for every console per month, but making sure over the year it comes out as the real total

for example: real numbers 210k/398k/396k, your leaked numbers 207k/399k/398k



poklane on 19 July 2017

Numbers? Thanks Jal!



Playstation_awaiter on 19 July 2017

Thank fuck some real numbers. That NPD Mat guy is annoying, never gives us the numbers that really matter.



estebxx on 19 July 2017
twintail said:

It could probably do a year better. The game lineup next year is pretty crazy, and who knows what else is coming. VR is gaining traction very slowly but with price cuts to all hardware possibly the year will be even cheaper for anyone to get in.

If Switch doesnt get massive 3rd party support and if XB just continues on the road it is, the PS4 becomes even more valuble. 

 

But its too early to say. You could very well be right. 

Yeah you are right, on one side there are many games that should push a lot of sales and the system could probably get a price drop on June  or maybe even this december, and that could help it do even better but... at the same time its true that 2018 will be its 5th year in the market and it would be VERY impressive if it does even better than this year.

Im just making a safe bet when i say this will be its peak year, all i know is that its gonna be interesting to see how it performs sales wise next year.



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LivingMetal on 19 July 2017

Any PS4 Pro numbers?



jason1637 on 19 July 2017
LivingMetal said:
Any PS4 Pro numbers?

Pro makes up 1 in 5 PS4s sold according to Sony so we can assume Pro has sold around 350k this year in the US.



celador on 19 July 2017

381k in June, damn those are some good numbers

and nearly 800k more PS4s sold than X1 this year so far. Xbox will beat PS4 in November and December, but not enough to win the year. I imagine PS4 will be over 1.5m up by then, I'm expecting big wins in September and October



Jigsawx1 on 19 July 2017
JRPGfan said:

It feels so good to have numbers again! Jal posting was awesome.

With the actual numbers out now, do you think VGC will use them to correct their own?


PS4
Jan: 210,665 (vgc has 222k)
Feb: 398,407 (vgc has 329k)
Mar: 396,726 (vgc has 374k)
Apr: 206,247 (vgc has 193k)
May: 187,182 (vgc has 224k) (jan to may, vgc undertracked 55k in US)
Jun: 381,196

XB1
Jan: 157,545 (vgc has 161k)
Feb: 215,418 (vgc has 248k)
Mar: 243,514 (vgc has 279k)
Apr: 109,950 (vgc has 173k)
May: 109,130 (vgc has 145k) (jan to may, vgc overtracked 173k in US)
Jun: 153,389

Switch
Mar: 910,545 (vgc has 912k)
Apr: 280,897 (vgc has 283k)
May: 165,038 (vgc has 191k) (mar to may, vgc overtracked 31k in US)
Jun: 215,582

 

Also World Wide, since numbers are now upto June 3, the PS4 should be around 60.4m, not the 59.5m front page shows.

npd is us and vgc is north america so + canada



jason1637 on 19 July 2017
Jigsawx1 said:
JRPGfan said:

It feels so good to have numbers again! Jal posting was awesome.

With the actual numbers out now, do you think VGC will use them to correct their own?


PS4
Jan: 210,665 (vgc has 222k)
Feb: 398,407 (vgc has 329k)
Mar: 396,726 (vgc has 374k)
Apr: 206,247 (vgc has 193k)
May: 187,182 (vgc has 224k) (jan to may, vgc undertracked 55k in US)
Jun: 381,196

XB1
Jan: 157,545 (vgc has 161k)
Feb: 215,418 (vgc has 248k)
Mar: 243,514 (vgc has 279k)
Apr: 109,950 (vgc has 173k)
May: 109,130 (vgc has 145k) (jan to may, vgc overtracked 173k in US)
Jun: 153,389

Switch
Mar: 910,545 (vgc has 912k)
Apr: 280,897 (vgc has 283k)
May: 165,038 (vgc has 191k) (mar to may, vgc overtracked 31k in US)
Jun: 215,582

 

Also World Wide, since numbers are now upto June 3, the PS4 should be around 60.4m, not the 59.5m front page shows.

npd is us and vgc us north america so + canada

And Mexico