Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: 1st party Switch sales

I'd strike Pokken, Xenoblade, and FE Warriors.

As long as the supply problems persist, these are non-evergreen games that will be selling to a limited install base. And we're not content-starved like we were at launch, so I'm not sure they'll get the 1-2-Switch benefit.

Unsure on ARMS until we see US sales data.



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LipeJJ said:
Splatoon 2: 15m

 

PAOerfulone said:

Splatoon 2 - 16 million

Y'all are crazy.



Are we, really? :P



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

Hold up ...

do you mean 1 million in 2017 alone? Because Xenoblade 2 and Fire Emblem Warriors won't do that most likely.

I will say though, that I think FE Warriors will outsell Hyrule Warriors. The concept just fits FE better and I think now that people have trust in spin offs like that they'll purchase it. I also think Xenoblade 2 could do 1.5 in it's first year, maybe 2 lifetime?



LipeJJ said:
Splatoon 2: 15m

 

PAOerfulone said:

Splatoon 2 - 16 million



 

Wtf? 16 million? Lol whatever you say ...

 

Lifetime sales : 

1-2 Switch : 2 million

Breath of the Wild : 11 - 12 million

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe : 7-8 million(kind of a flash in the pan imo, will have good legs but it's rapid sales will slow down and I think BOTW will have better legs)

Arms : 3 million

Splatoon 2 : 8 million

Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle : 2.0 million

Pokken Tournament DX : 1.5 million

Super Mario Odyssey : 15 million

Fire Emblem Warriors : 2 million

Xenoblade 2 : 2.0 million

but I think by the end of THIS YEAR it will be

1-2 Switch : 1 million 

Breath of the Wild : 7 million 

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe : 6 million

Arms : 1.5 million

Splatoon 2 : 6 million

Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle : .7 million 

Pokken Tournament DX : .7 million

Super Mario Odyssey : 7 million(switch shortage yoh)

Fire Emblem Warriors : .9 million

Xenoblade 2 : .7 million

 



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If Animal Crossing can go from 3 million on the GameCube to 12 million on the DS, going from 5 million on the Wii U (which sold much worse than the GameCube) to 16 million on the Switch isn't that far out of the realm of possibility.

Edit: The game is goign toe-to-toe in Japanese pre orders with Dragon Quest.
DRAGON QUEST



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

I can see that happening!
Great start for the Switch!



Pocky Lover Boy! 

specialk said:
LipeJJ said:
Splatoon 2: 15m

 

PAOerfulone said:

Splatoon 2 - 16 million

Y'all are crazy.

For starters, I'm expecting 3m first month.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

When Q1 meeting with shareholders? We need the current sales figures.



jonathanalis said:
When Q1 meeting with shareholders? We need the current sales figures.

i think July 26



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.