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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: 1st party Switch sales

PAOerfulone on 12 July 2017

Splatoon 2 deserves its own thread I think.



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LipeJJ on 13 July 2017
Mnementh said:
LipeJJ said:

For starters, I'm expecting 3m first month.

Were aren't enough Switches around for this first month number.

Why not? Switch is at least at 5m by now, and this will greatly increase once Splatoon 2 launches. After it's 1 month on the market, I bet Switch will be around 6m, so 3m first month (4 weeks) should represent a 50% attach rate. MK8Deluxe sold around 2m first month according to VGC, on a lower install base while at that, so while 3m is not garanteed for Splatoon, it's not that hard either. 



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Barkley on 13 July 2017

Not really a bold prediction imo, the least likely is Pokken, but that manged it on WiiU so I have no reason to suspect it'll sell less then a million on Switch.



zorg1000 on 28 April 2018

It appears as though my prediction has come true, the only one we dont know about is Fire Emblem Warriors which is over 1 million with New 3DS sales included.

I cant imagine N3DS version making up much of that so NSW version will most likely reach it on its own.



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Pavolink on 28 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
It appears as though my prediction has come true, the only one we dont know about is Fire Emblem Warriors which is over 1 million with New 3DS sales included.

I cant imagine N3DS version making up much of that so NSW version will most likely reach it on its own.

My guess is ~75% for Switch version and the rest for 3DS.



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The_Liquid_Laser on 28 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
It appears as though my prediction has come true, the only one we dont know about is Fire Emblem Warriors which is over 1 million with New 3DS sales included.

I cant imagine N3DS version making up much of that so NSW version will most likely reach it on its own.

Good job!  I expect that Fire Emblem Warriors will also get over 1m in due time.



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