The PS4 is basically beasting. It's the fundamental game console of choice this gen. 60.4 million hardware and 487 million software in it's first 3 and a half years. For it to sell half a billion software in that time is actually insane. But get this, the first two years of a consoles life is normally the smallest in software sales due to the low install base. So it's not unwise to assume that the PS4 might actually eclipse 1 billion software in the next 3.5 years considering consoles sell more software in their second half of life. And will go on to do 1.4 billion lifetime, easily I say.

As for the hardware, It'l hit 100 million by 2020. And it's going to sell for $149 to $99 after that making it an impulse purchase with it's very impressive library by then. Trust me, it'l hit 130 million. I'd bet this accout but honestly it isn't up to much anyway soo.

Do you agree? Or am I talking shite?

Do, I do not agree with you. I say that it'll end up around the same as what the PS1 was, 130 million seems unreachable to me. But who knows, I guess it could have a longer lifespan than I'm expecting it to have.

Software should be easy if software digital sales are included.

PS4 should be peaking this year. So 100M should be easy, beyond that can be more difficult. It depends strongly on how fast the PS5 gets adopted. If it is slow like with PS3, the previous console could sell decently for years. If PS5 starts strong, then PS4 will decline fast.

Agree with that somewhat. If the PS5 releases 2018 for example and it's a hit, the PS4 might just about make it to PS1/Wii numbers when it's discontinued. But if PS5 releases in November 2020, the PS4 will sell 100 million before it's even released. PS5 backwards compatibility could kill PS4 sales too, but it's doing over 100 mill in any case.

I is predicting 110-115M

100M is locked at this point, and it could reach it around Jan 2020 so just in 6 years. PS5 is likely Holiday 2020, the question is will the PS5 announcement impact PS4 as much as it did PS3 back in 2013. I think next time they will have a much shorter hype cycle, have the PS Meeting late May and show the console 2-3 weeks later at E3.

Also don't expect a $99 PS4, it's just not gonna happen, $149 is likely lowest price point it's gonna be. PS4 reached 60M at a much higher price point than PS2 ($299>$179).

My prediction atm is around 110-115m hardware, software I'm not entirely sure.... 1.1 Billion?

105m, no more. You'd need PS2-style domination for 130.

Above 100 million? yes i think its very possible, but 130? hmm... i can see it at 110 or 115 but if it does get to 130 i would be very impressed.

Sounds about right, that's my prediction too. But who knows, if PS5 starts slow, PS4 might reach new hights.