your thread title and OP do not match. one asks about the reveal, and the other asks about a hypothetical situation where the switch performs decently in the market. since there is too many variables with your OP, ill just answer the thread title.
The reveal being a "decent success" for Nintendo depends really one who is watching it. For example a lot of people thought Nintendo had a great E3, despite showing just one game. personally i though it was a horrible E3 for them. just showing one game? seriously? however, a lot of people were happy, even though i am sure a much bigger number of gamers didnt give a shit about it.
so it depends on who you ask.
the hardcore nintendo fans? i think they will be rather pleased with the unveiling. if these same people were convinced by 1 game at E3, then i would say Nintendo doesnt need to do much to please them.
people who are interested in nintendo games but not really big fans? hmm... i think for the most part they wont be convinced, obviously some will, but for the most part it wont convince much to buy the system
the core people who are on PC/Xbox/PS? i dont think they will give a shit about whats shown, mainly because it will be more of the same, but instead of on the WiiU it will be on the switch, some ports and other new installments. still, it wont interest the gamers who are getting a vast number of first, second and third party games already. and Zelda, Mario and Pikmin didnt work manage to gather their interest before, and wont do so now.