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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Zelda: Breath of the Wild Sales Predictions

Barkley on 05 December 2016

7 Million LT.



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fedfed on 05 December 2016

Ok assuming that Mario and Splatoon will push Switch sales...

I will say 1.8 million first week (all consoles)
7.6 (all consoles) lifetime



Switch!!!

S.Peelman on 05 December 2016

2m WiiU.
6m Switch.

1.5m First Week.

Twilight Princess combined will remain top seller, BotW combined will battle Ocarina of Time while BotW Switch will battle the original LoZ for third place. Still, as always I'm hoping we'll finally see a 10m seller in this series!



S.Peelman on 05 December 2016
TheGreatOther said:
WagnerPaiva said:

Lifetime 5 million if Switch is a ok console.
If Switch is a smash hit, 13 million

First week: 500k on WiiU, 1 million on Switch.

Twilight Princess only sold around 6 million on Wii's 100 million installbase, so I don't think it matters how much a console sells, it's going to stay in that 5-6 million range.

http://www.vgchartz.com/game/4573/the-legend-of-zelda-twilight-princess/

Not that the gist of your post is wrong, you're right that for any console Zelda we can assume around 5m given history and sales across the series only seem to be influenced by install-base in a very small way. It has quite a consistant fan-base.



AZWification on 05 December 2016

1.5m FW
6.5m LT ( of course, it would be awesome if it ends selling much more)



                
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m_csquare on 05 December 2016

8m LT



maxleresistant on 05 December 2016

many of you are way too high

Look at Twilight princess ans its 8millions unit sold, it was on gamecube, a console far more successful than the WiiU, and on Wii, a console far more successful than the Switch could ever be.

It will sell well though, but somewhere between 4 and 7 millions, my guess is 5.8



Swordmasterman on 05 December 2016
LipeJJ said:
Mar1217 said:

I think you didn't put to much thought into it. The next Zelda isn't suppose to just gather the earliest NS adopters who already own it. This game is a flagship title and will easily bring a lot of people into the next Nintendo platform(Switch) too.

It's just my way of seeing it though.

So I predict the game will sell 3.5M first week. I'm not sure with lifetime sells so I guess I'll go with an estimate of 7M-10M.

I know, I think it can/will do 1m+ FW combined, I'm just saying this isn't 100% guaranteed yet. It will need a great attach rate for the first week to do it.

Btw, can you do a breakdown between Switch/WiiU of your 3.5m prediction? I'm guessing you're expecting the Switch version to do at least 2m FW? In that case, the attach rate would need to be something like 50% FW. I believe that's unprecedented (or extremely rare) for a game not bundled.

I think that they will only ship 2 millions of switchs for the Launch. It would need to do 2 millions on the Switch(100% attach rate) and 1.5 millions on the Wii U.



Swordmasterman on 05 December 2016
maxleresistant said:
many of you are way too high

Look at Twilight princess ans its 8millions unit sold, it was on gamecube, a console far more successful than the WiiU, and on Wii, a console far more successful than the Switch could ever be.

It will sell well though, but somewhere between 4 and 7 millions, my guess is 5.8

Which is a very good number.



maxleresistant on 05 December 2016
Swordmasterman said:
maxleresistant said:
many of you are way too high

Look at Twilight princess ans its 8millions unit sold, it was on gamecube, a console far more successful than the WiiU, and on Wii, a console far more successful than the Switch could ever be.

It will sell well though, but somewhere between 4 and 7 millions, my guess is 5.8

Which is a very good number.

it is, but some people on this thread are giving crazy numbers like 13 or 12 millions. That will never happen... I can predict the Zelda franchise will never sell that much in one episode. At least not without some really really big changes.