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Forums - Sales Discussion - Early Nintendo Switch Sales Predictions

If they keep this ball rolling and the thing is as poweful and cool as NVidia say it is, it will sell out at launch and make 10 million first year with ease.
If the third party support is regular and consistent, 70 million lifetime.



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

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The average of all the predictions in this thread.



Very little to go by, but since they've decided on a tablet format and still somewhat chase a crowded market, I'd say less than the Wii U and 3DS combined for now, which means less than 80-85 million. I'm thinking way less, unless they manage to do something spectacular.
It does several things, but it does nothing that other devices don't already do in principle, and the tablet form factor in a home console environment might be more detrimental than helpful in the end, I still believe that the Gamepad was the main culprit in the Wii U's demise, this appears to be a slightly more streamlined version of basically the same idea, with the added benefit of being an actual portable.
But, even as a portable, I just doubt the tablet form factor in general, click-on controllers have been around for some time now and were never a success; traditional gaming and control schemes and smart device form factor simply aren't a very good match.

Nintendo deserve a lot of praise for being different though, and the base idea seems sound enough, but I have doubts, serious ones at that. Let's hope I'm wrong.
Depending on price and support, and just how much they're going to cater to handheld fans, I might consider buying one though.



70-80 million.



2 Million max, It will do well in Japan but Bomb everywhere else

Last edited by GProgrammer - on 16 December 2018

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Price is very important. Hard to tell without knowing it. I'll go with 55-70 million if it's $249 (doubt it, but Nintendo should aim for it. Even if it's at a loss), and 40-60 million for $299. If it's above $299, it'll be a total failure.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

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Sales predictions without a price, the specs or the games... Which type of dice do you guys use?



Some 40 million, and almost half of it in Japan.

Mostly because I think it will be huge over there and do slightly better than GC/Wii U elsewhere.

(I said 40 million for the Wii U as well)



 

 

 

 

 

I will note that all the below/around Wii U sales prediction are nonsense. Nintendo has been getting a lot of publicity, for core and casual gamers, all this year. Miitomo, MyNintendo, Theme Park, NX, Pokemon GO, NES Classic, Super Mario Run, etc.

If the Switch cant beat the GameCube after all this, Nintendo is destined to fail and go 3rd party.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

I'd say about four hundred million billion. That's what the figures seem to suggest anyway.

It's hard to predict when you don't know if this is the 3DS successor or not.