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Forums - Sales - Prediction: Uncharted 4 will sell roughly double Gears 4

d21lewis on 15 May 2016
rccsetzer said:
6 out of 10 people are playing UC4 on my friends list. You are underestimating Uncharted 4.

I'm not on your friends list but I'm playing it now, too. Just stopped to eat.



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d21lewis on 15 May 2016
Ballas said:
People saying Uncharted 4 will sell ovver 10 million with bundles that's true, that's why the series has sold so well and became so popular. Uncharted 1 & 2 were heavily bundled with PS3 and when I bought one I didn't have an option of not buying a PS3 without Uncharted 2. Its not God Of War which sells almost entirely without bundles.

That said bundles are a part of sales and they are added to sales of every game so why should this not be included? Gears Of War UE also sold so much due to bundles. Uncharted 4 will sell well even without bundles though because the hype is through the roof. Even casuals are aware of this release and people who never played the series are excited for Uncharted 4 for reasons I don't understand but yes that's what I've been seeing.

I agree with everything you've posted except that I can't remember seeing Uncharted 1 and 2 heavily bundled. I vaguely remember an U2 bundle, though.



Teeqoz on 15 May 2016
Azzanation said:
Xxain said:

Blah

I wont argue about  a sell being a sell, but your not necessarily correct. The original release of TLoU did about 6mill which is in line with rest of ND's other games. It was re-released on PS4, as we know re-releases are majority bought by people who bought the game before. No version has come more than halfway to reaching 10mill. When it comes trying to pinpoint growth in a series the original release is the most important.  

Exactly and people need to understand that this is the first original release of UC4. It Might hit 10m if its remastered for the NEO. But on average, ND games tend to sell 5m to 6m and considering the hype and bundling, id say UC4 will hit 7m and maybe 8m life time.

Lol. The PS3 Uncharted games sold on average 7 million each, and TLOU sold more than 7 million (all these numbers are official from Sony themselves), so how on earth can you say that ND games tend to sell 5-6 million?



Azzanation on 16 May 2016
BraLoD said:
Azzanation said:

Exactly and people need to understand that this is the first original release of UC4. It Might hit 10m if its remastered for the NEO. But on average, ND games tend to sell 5m to 6m and considering the hype and bundling, id say UC4 will hit 7m and maybe 8m life time.

Uncharted trilogy averages at 7M per game, considering Uncharted 1 was the only one to go around that reach (5 to 6M), ever since U2 (so U2, U3, TLOU) have topped 7M always on the PS3 alone. Around 8M average with all of them very likely (7.5M for U2, 8M for U3, 8M+ for TLOU), that's on PS3.

Now we are on PS4, it's selling like crazy, completely dominant on the market and yet another hit from ND with U4.

No matter how much you try, ND games on PS3 average OVER 7M, that's official data.

Thanks for correcting me, its not 6m its 7m..

7m is still not even close to 10m like many are claiming. Thats a big jump up from its average.



Nate4Drake on 16 May 2016

Uncharted4 will sell 3 times as much !



”Every great dream begins with a dreamer. Always remember, you have within you the strength, the patience, and the passion to reach for the stars to change the world.”

Harriet Tubman.

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Aerys on 16 May 2016

3 times yes



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

Angelv577 on 17 May 2016
leyendax69 said:
Not sure if I'm heavily underestimating Uncharted but I don't see it selling more than 10M like some people says. Sure it will have a big launch, probably a lot bigger than the first three games & Tlou but will probably have worse legs as well. That said, I can see UC4 landing in the 7-8M range, in the case Gears sees a big drop like Halo it will be enough to double its sales

This.  I dont see U4 at 10m either.  



masschamber on 17 May 2016

5 million of $60 heavily bundled 3-game, sans multiplayer Nathan drake collection, vs 3 million of the $40 heavily bundled 1 game with multiplayer ultimate edition, what can this tell us about 4 v 4, I have no idea.



I HAVE A DOUBLE DRAGON CAB IN MY KITCHEN!!!!!!

NOW A PUNISHER CAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Aerys on 20 May 2016

Uncharted 4 sold 80 k in spain only, it's a monster.

Probably 2M first week at least.



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

yo_john117 on 21 May 2016

I could see it happening. I expect about 8-11 million in the long haul for Uncharted 4 and roughly 3-5 million for Gears of War 4.