Here's today's update to the monthly and Week 1 rankings:

PS4 COD bundle: #26 (↓3)
XBO Gears bundle: #36 (↑2)
New 3DS XL: #53 (↓3)
N3DSXL Fire Emblem bundle: #58 (new entry)

Well, the Wii U didn't last long, but a new bundle for Fire Emblem Fates that is releasing later this month has appeared. Also, given how it's placing in the hourly charts, the Uncharted 4 bundle should start ranking very soon. However, it's a preorder so it won't count towards February NPD.

That Gears Bundle for $300 might have something to say about that. We'll see.

Looks to be an Amazon-only deal. If it does last a while and puts the XBO ahead of the PS4 (hasn't happened yet), it could possibly make Amazon wrong for the first time in, well, ever.

It only has to be ahead of the Black Ops Bundle. This is what I was talking about with the possible cannibalization of PS4 sales because of the UC4 Bundle. Sony need to add another bundle or take an existing bundle and give it 'value'. I'd throw TLOUR in with the Black Ops 3 bundle just to keep them ticking over.

Why didn't you use the same logic for your Halo 5 prediction? 

I did. Halo 3 and i think 2 had those sales with around the same userbase 

Though I would see what effect the $299 Xbox Bundle being emailed by Amazon is having on the hourly sales.

13.) PS4 CoD ↑
34.) XB1 ↑ ($50 off, +30 Gift Card)
39.) PS4 U ↓
54.) 3DS ↑
84,) 3DSXL FE ↑
88.) PS4 ↓
97.) XB1 ↑ ($33 off + $30 gift card)

Not quite the bump I was expecting after recieving that email....

3 hours since last update:

#13 PS4 Black Ops 3 Bundle (up 5)
#34 XB1 Gears Bundle (up 4)
#39 PS4 Uncharted 4 LE Bundle (down 7)*
#51 N3DS Black (up 11)
#84 N3DSXL Fire Emblem Fate Bundle (up 11)
#88 PS4 Fool's Edition (up 1)
#97 XB1 Three Game Bundle (re-entry)

Does not affect this month (*)

See this is the problem right here, you base you facts using cherry picked positive data for stuff relating to one console while you find ways to not do that with stuff relating to another consoles.

You go on about install base, what did Halo 4 sell? 9/10M on a 80M install base? You predicted over 7M of Halo 5 sales in 2 months on a 15M install base. I'm just a little mythed why you chose to be optimistic for Halo 5 even though sales for the series peaked at 3 and Xbox One is struggling to get any momentum. While being a little negative on Unharted sales even though PS4 is has massive momentum going for it, the Uncharted series sales trend has been going up (has been since the first game) and Uncharted 4 will probably have the most hype of all the Uncharteds.

It might sell less because of install base and the fact it's releasing in a non-holiday part of the year but a little bit of consistency would be nice.

2 hours since last update:

#14 PS4 Black Ops 3 Bundle (down 1)
#35 XB1 Gears Bundle (down 1)
#38 PS4 Uncharted 4 LE Bundle (up 1)*
#56 N3DS Black (down 5)
#84 N3DSXL Fire Emblem Fate Bundle (same)
#87 PS4 Fool's Edition (up 1)
#98 XB1 Three Game Bundle (down 1)

Does not affect this month (*)