i completely agree, and both the PS3 and 360 will surpass the Xbox and Gamecube with out question before the four year mark for each console

I am a Gemini- split personality. lol. Anyway now the first to 25 million consoles sold (install base) that is a fair contest.

My fellow PS3 fans are starting to get too cocky.

The PS3 will have to explode and put up Wii numbers to beat the 360 to 25m, or the 360 would have to just die.

360 will get there first.

The 360 will definitely get there first. Come on folks, use some common sense!

360: 7.5m left to reach 25m
PS3: 14m left to reach 25m

To beat the 360, the PS3 would have to outsell it by a factor of 2:1. Even though the PS3 has been winning in weekly sales throughout 2008, it certainly hasn't been anywhere close to doubling 360 sales. Outselling the 360 by 30k weekly (150k to 120k) certainly isn't going to get it done.

Barring some seismic shift in the market, this has no chance of occuring.

If the PS3 lowers its price it could do it .If it doesnt it wont ....maybe it will get to 30 million first then .

360... they would have to really screw up to stop that 35 million is the place where it could be up in the air

to qualify this statment, Id have to say that the percived slumping economy and the real falling dollar, could alter purchasing habits in the american market. so price drops and their realative speed in comning could determin who gets where first

america making up 60-55% of whole market and 75-77% of the 360 market, hopefully for the big M they can move more units  in europa to spread out that figure 

I think that the 360 will no doubt get there first but the PS3 wont be far behind, i would think that when the 360 passes 25 Million the PS3 will be on about 21-22 :D

The 360 will likely hit 25 million by the end of 2008 or in early 2009.  The PS3 would have to sell 14 million units in 8-10 months to do that.  That's probably not going to happen.

WTF??

on topic: It will be the Xbox 360 to make it first, my sig indicates that, though according to my signature there is a very low possibility the PS3 can really take off which indicates the reason the wii is barely at 30M on my sig, and 360 below the PS3 by the end of the year. It really depends on the PS3. Therefore I think right now the 360 will make that mark with the PS3 about 1-2 million consoles behind.

I haven't taken the time to crunch the numbers but it looks to me like the 360's current advantage is too great for the PS3 to eclipse the 360's install base that early. By the time the 360 hits 25 million, the PS3 will likely be closer to 20 million than 25.

The current advantage is at 6.72 million units for the 360, going by the numbers here on VG Chartz. The PS3 looks like it'll chip away a good chunk of that this year and I think the PS3 will be around 20 million sold by the end of the 2008 holiday season but that the 360 will likely be around 24 million by that time.

Of course, all of this is assuming that the PS3 maintains strong sales in America - not necessarily outselling the 360 here but at least keeping pace to some extent.

First to 30 or 35 million? Sure, that's entirely possible. First to 25 million? Not a chance.