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Forums - Nintendo - Predict Pokemon GO download count (I am inevitably right)

spemanig said:
fleischr said:

Wrong. They have crossed 1 billion with individual entries.


*looks it up*

...3 billion downloads!? Fucking hell! Are there even 3 billion Smartphones in the wild?! How is this possible!?


There are like 14 different editions, so it's really not that suprising. It's not one single version that sold/been downloaded that much. 

The original Angry Birds reached 100 to 500 million installations on android.



 

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Those numbers a bit low, don't you think? I'm expecting 600 million FW and 6 billion when it's all said and done.



                
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mZuzek said:

People love to redownload stuff several times.


That shouldn't count...



It will do 500million LT and 10 million during the first 9 days.



2M first week, 30M lifetime. It will also be spammed with Wii U and 3DS ads, like the rest of Nintendo's apps (hopefully, they need to use these to market their consoles) 



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500 milion lifetime, 600 if compatible with Google Glass (to be clear, I'm not saying that 100 milion people will buy google glass, but the feature would be so sick that it would move more numbers, like people who say "I'll eventualy buy a google glass, meanwile I get use to the game")



I'm expecting 10 million first week, 3 billion on earth, and 8 billion downloads when it reaches the nearest exoplanet.



I'm not too familiar with mobile sales, all I know is a couple of sold 'a lot', but if Sonic Dash as mentioned above sold a whopping 100m, surely something as giant as Pokemon can reach at least 500m. Who knows, maybe it will even get to a billion downloads. I think we indeed have to slightly adjust our sales perspective when talking about mobile compared to our usual expectations on normal hardware.



Slarvax said:
I predict your prediction will be wrong.
Soundwave said:
I don't see a billion downloads ... that's quite a bit, how many games have even done that?
Neodegenerate said:
Billion lifetime is completely unrealistic. I would say 50 million tops.

So... how's your appetite for crow these days?

ghost_of_fazz said:
Well, Ingress by itself has had more than 10,000,000 downloads. Attach the Pokémon name to it, make it free, make it cool... Yeah, at least some 5,000,000 first week.

It probably hit that within it's first day

asqarkabab said:
Pokemon fans will download it

Which now happens to nearly everyone. Huzzah!

spurgeonryan said:
100-500 million. But pokemon will not be as big as Angry birds originally was.

It may even be bigger...

AZWification said:

Those numbers a bit low, don't you think? I'm expecting 600 million FW and 6 billion when it's all said and done.

This seemed like a crazy post then - but you might be right now!

GoldenTriforce said:

2M first week, 30M lifetime. It will also be spammed with Wii U and 3DS ads, like the rest of Nintendo's apps (hopefully, they need to use these to market their consoles) 

Surprisingly - no ads (yet) and no integration with My Nintendo which I found odd

shakarak said:
I'm expecting 10 million first week, 3 billion on earth, and 8 billion downloads when it reaches the nearest exoplanet.

Not gonna lie - outer space should be on Pokemon GO's frontier in the next few years. SpaceX should provide moon missions to go catch Clefairy.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

fleischr said:
Slarvax said:
I predict your prediction will be wrong.
Soundwave said:
I don't see a billion downloads ... that's quite a bit, how many games have even done that?
Neodegenerate said:
Billion lifetime is completely unrealistic. I would say 50 million tops.

So... how's your appetite for crow these days?

Pretty good, serve it up! :D