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Forums - Nintendo - Splatoon Official #s Only Detailed! Total Sales Now Over 1.10mil in Under 27 Days!

binary solo on 07 June 2015
tbone51 said:
binary solo said:
So with USA retail thrown in it's looking like nudging 600K FW with Digital included. ~500K FW retail only?

UK+FR=~46% of WIi U Europe install base --> ~100K for Europe over all.

Rest of World = <10% of Wii U install base ~ FR+UK install base => 40-50K sales.

So Japan FW +EU probable FW + RoW probable FW = ~300K retail sales. US~ 42.5% of the global install base => 230K FW for USA, but USA might like Splatoon more than Europe, so USE could get up to 300K FW.


I think 300k FW is alot for US. I do think NoA will be alot bigger than Europe, if i had to guess it be this for now. (about)

Retail Only          Digital

Japan: 145k         45k    (japan Out of stock, hence digital is high and already proved to be 40k+)

NoA: 170k            25k

Europe: 95k          15k  (Discount with Demo)

RoW:   30k              5k

WW Total: 440k +  90k   [Total 530k]

 

Shipments Probably around 540k-600k FW.

OK 300K for USA might be a bit ambitious, but I reckon you're lowballing NA there a bit with only 170K. Only 25K more than Japan with close the double the install base. It is probably right that proportionally Japan will like this game more than NA, but I don't think it will be that disproportionate. The attach rate for Japan FW, retail only, is ~6.5%. 170K means a NA attach rate of about 4%. I would think an attach rate of more like 5% compared to Japans 6.5% would be more like it, so 200K should be a lock for NA. I'm still going to go with about 500K FW retail. If RoW contributes only 30K then that would be a very poor showing for a close to 1 million install base.



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fedfed on 08 June 2015

It could be 500k first week WW



Switch!!!

bunchanumbers on 08 June 2015

Excellent. 600k FW is in the realm of possibility. NPD will show the numbers soon. I'm hopeful that my 1 million in a month prediction can happen.



tbone51 on 08 June 2015

Official UK #s

[Week 22, 2015] SPLATOON (NINTENDO) > 15,531 [Week 23, 2015] SPLATOON (NINTENDO) > 7,766 23,297
So with 2 weeks (10 days) Splatoon is minimum 23.3k and max 35.9k



teigaga on 08 June 2015

Where did Japanese digital come from?



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tbone51 on 08 June 2015
teigaga said:
Where did Japanese digital come from?


eShop. Splatoon is #2 overall game while SSBU is #8. SSBU a couple months back we knew had at least 43k in digital sales.



teigaga on 08 June 2015
tbone51 said:
teigaga said:
Where did Japanese digital come from?


eShop. Splatoon is #2 overall game while SSBU is #8. SSBU a couple months back we knew had at least 43k in digital sales.


Oh wow, at this rate it could outsell mario or smash bros in Japan. I completely underestimated it over there, I wonder what longterm effect it will have on WIi U sales over there. Now if only they had another big title to follow it up with *cough*Zelda *cough*



Ryng on 08 June 2015

UK second week: 10,000 (-50%)
Lifetime: 30,000



tbone51 on 08 June 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
UK second week: 10,000 (-50%)
Lifetime: 30,000


Thats in between, we known its 23.3k-35.9k. (10 days)



Ryng on 08 June 2015
tbone51 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
UK second week: 10,000 (-50%)
Lifetime: 30,000


Thats in between, we known its 23.3k-35.9k. (10 days)

We know that Splatoon is the 5^ best seller on WU. so, under 27,000 of Nintendo land and Wind Waker (and Smash/Kart 8).

That means Splatoon outsold for sure Mario Bros U. (19,899 according to VGChartz)

So, 19,900 < Splatoon.

Around 20,000 is about correct. With a -50% in the second week, then you have 10,000 in the second week, and a lifetime of 30,000 more or less.