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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 and XBO have already break the Peak?

 

When XBO/PS4 will break the peak?

2014 1 11.11%
 
2015 2 22.22%
 
2016 3 33.33%
 
2017 0 0%
 
after 3 33.33%
 
Total:9
Ryng on 04 February 2015
celador said:
There is very little chance that PS4 has had its peak year at full price. I am guessing at small increases the next two years, around 10% like the Wii U. Although I don't think it has peaked, I am not expecting massive increases at any point.

I agree with you. Even for me PS4 and XBO will be up, i said +5% XBO and +20% PS4.

The point is that much people expect a 50%-70% Boost for both PS4 and XBO!!!

20m PS4 and 10m XBO in 2015!? Nope, just nope...



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Ryng on 04 February 2015
kowenicki said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

I agree with you. Even for me PS4 and XBO will be up, i said +5% XBO and +20% PS4.

The point is that much people expect a 50%-70% Boost for both PS4 and XBO!!!

20m PS4 and 10m XBO in 2015!? Nope, just nope...


I agree.

Peak or not?  who knows.

But they will be more front loaded than the last gen which could mean you are right.

Well, i think that NOW the people have underdtand the sense of this thread.



Captain_Tom on 04 February 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
Captain_Tom said:
This year is the peak year. I agree that generations (including this one) will be more front-loaded than before, but not to the degree you think.

Even for me 2015 is the Peak.

But I expect a seriusly smaller increase for PS4 and XBO and that the sales will dropped like a rock in 2016-2017. (As is happen for 3ds)

SPECIALLY XBOX ONE.

The 3DS is its own thing with its own problems (Competition from mobile etc).  I expect the PS4 to sell 20-24m this year, and then 18-22m next year.  I don't think they will fall off a cliff that until the PS5 is out.  Keep in mind they still have the $300 and $200 price points to come.

As for the Xbox One, yeah I think it will start dropping off quicker in 2016, but follow a similar trend to the PS4.



Mikmster on 04 February 2015

lol some of you.

399 and no major PS franchises out yet, and PS4 sales wont grow much sure sure lol.



Ryng on 06 February 2015
Captain_Tom said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Even for me 2015 is the Peak.

But I expect a seriusly smaller increase for PS4 and XBO and that the sales will dropped like a rock in 2016-2017. (As is happen for 3ds)

SPECIALLY XBOX ONE.

The 3DS is its own thing with its own problems (Competition from mobile etc).  I expect the PS4 to sell 20-24m this year, and then 18-22m next year.  I don't think they will fall off a cliff that until the PS5 is out.  Keep in mind they still have the $300 and $200 price points to come.

As for the Xbox One, yeah I think it will start dropping off quicker in 2016, but follow a similar trend to the PS4.

24m are insanity... for sell this number's it must sell like the Wii in 2008, so 400k-600k all NPD (2m-3m during the Holiday) and 40k all week in Japan.

JUST NO.

20m isn't impossible, but as i said, Hart 50% increase for PS4.



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Mikmster on 06 February 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:

24m are insanity... for sell this number's it must sell like the Wii in 2008, so 400k-600k all NPD (2m-3m during the Holiday) and 40k all week in Japan.

JUST NO.

20m isn't impossible, but as i said, Hart 50% increase for PS4.


Price cut games and marketing, nothing hard about it.  Add a few more markets going live.

What you think 299 or 199 wont drive sale a hell of a lot ?  



fleischr on 06 February 2015

It's hard to imagine what would give this gen the same kind of second wind as the last.

360 had a breakthrough peripheral in the Kinect, and the PS3 finally became affordable late in it's lifecycle. Xbone and Ps4 are pretty good as they are now. No big improvements to be made, therefore no big boosts late in the lifecycle.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

cutzman25 on 06 February 2015

deff not, no heavy hitter games have been released yet



PSN & XBOX GT : cutzman25

haqqaton on 06 February 2015
teigaga said:

No, both will be up this year theres no question. Just look at the software we're about to recieve and the baseline's we're at. Comparably last year software was very weak, the systems sold off hype for the first 6 months. Jan might be down a bit for PS4 but thats expected.

Vita peaking in launch year coincided directly with the amount of big games it received. Uncharted, Gravity Rush, Little Big Planet, Persona 4, Assassins Creed Unity, COD...

2016 will likely be the peak year for both systems assuming they get a price cut and the software line up is at least on par with 2015. In comparison to previous generations that would still equate to a slight more front loaded peak. 

WAIT! WHAT?

OT: I think that 2015 will be the peak year for all home consoles, so I agree with you.



itsFizz on 06 February 2015

To be hnest I can see both PS4 and XBO down yoy in 2015. However I think 2016 will be significantly up compared to 2014 and 2017 will be the peak with both of them phasing out in 2019-2020. Yup I think year 4 will be the peak or at least flat with 2016(thus making 2016 the Peak)



      
Yup...RO friggin rocked