Bayonetta 2 will probably go down as a flop.
By the way, what's with the nonsensical excuses? "It's not a flop because it did as well as the first game on the 360 OR the PS3." Doesn't matter in the slightest. Only factors that matter are the total cost versus the total revenue. "It's not a flop because it has a high attach rate." Does not matter in the slightest. Only factors that matter are the total cost versus the total revenue.
You get the idea.
It's also important to note that I said "probably" regarding the game's floppy status. That's because it might very well depend on which perspective you're talking about, which might very well depend on the contractual terms between Nintendo, Sega, and Platinum. Who paid for what? Who makes what percentage of the revenue? Who is protected from losses? That's information that we will probably never have access to. If I had to guess, though, I'd say that Nintendo did not foot the entire bill for the game. I would guess that Sega was just trying to get some kind of ROI off what they'd already funded. If that's the case, then what would constitute a financial flop for Nintendo would be less than we might otherwise assume.
But is it still a flop relative to what they wanted from the title? Maybe and maybe not. You've got to figure that when they made the deal, they expected the Wii U to be more of a success. In that regard, you could say that the Wii U flopping is the important point and that the console let the game down, not vice versa.
That's probably good news if you want a Bayonetta 3. It's always possible that someone else could fund such a venture, even if it's not Nintendo. However, it also would not surprise me to see Nintendo fund Bayonetta 3, only not on the Wii U, but on their next console after that. That would make the most sense. Even if the Wii U is a lost cause, they'll still want to move forward, they'll still want to attract as many gamers as possible. Assuming they believe the Wii U's successor will perform better than the Wii U--and they have to believe that--then they'll undoubtedly attempt to line up more M-rated content.