November 2014 NPD Thread!

Fusioncode

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Fusioncode on 11 December 2014

So this is by far the worst tracking VGC has ever done right? I mean the XBO overtracked by at least 500k,WiiU overtracked by 140k, 3DS undertracked by 200k, only PS4 seems to be within the right margins. I hope ioi takes the time to look at these numbers and realize his methodology is badly in need of an overhaul. Impossible to defend tracking this bad.

Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

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Aerys on 11 December 2014

Gamz said:

Aerys said:

GribbleGrunger said:

Either 9.1m needs to be decreased or 16.1m needs to be increased. Or a bit of both. Either way, the gap VGC is showing for NPD is not even close to the reality (if this turns out to be true)

If Sony is to believed, 16,1M needs to be increased since it should be ahead of Wii, being the fastest selling console in the history

Wii was stock constricted for two years.

Maybe, but that's not the point.

Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

PS4: 17m XB1: 10m WiiU: 10m Vita: 10m

celador

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celador on 11 December 2014

Still trying to get my head around X1 potentially being 500k overtracked. I appreciate it must be incredibly difficult at this time of year to track sales, but half a million in a month is substantial.

PS4 seems very good though, which makes me wonder even more what threw off X1 so badly

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SJReiter on 11 December 2014

To the people saying things like,"boy, I wonder how long Nintendo will support Wii U at this rate", I have to say that Nintendo will support the Wii U until the natural end of this gen, no doubt in my mind. However, obviously, they cannot overlook these abysmal sales, and I think that will force them to reaaally rethink their strategy for next gen (i.e. they have to make a console that 3rd parties can support).

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Aerys on 11 December 2014

celador said:
Still trying to get my head around X1 potentially being 500k overtracked. I appreciate it must be incredibly difficult at this time of year to track sales, but half a million in a month is substantial.

PS4 seems very good though, which makes me wonder even more what threw off X1 so badly

Too much love for X1?

No just kidding no ban

Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

PS4: 17m XB1: 10m WiiU: 10m Vita: 10m

SwooshX

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SwooshX on 11 December 2014

benji232 said:

SwooshX said:

benji232 said:
At this rate, is wiiU even going to reach 15M units lifetime? I can't believe how badly it performed this November. Japan is down, Americas is almost flat and we have no clue about Europe (I'm talking about holiday sales of course). They might end up shipping only 2.2.-2.4m units this Q which would mean they would end up barely hitting their very low forecast. Given the release of smash and kart, I was expecting wiiU to smash that forecast and end up shipping something like 4-4.5m. I guess I was wrong.

And this year is probably it's peak year, meaning that next year will probably bring wiiU LTD sales to 12m units (?) and then they're probably going to barely reach 15M lifetime. Actually they're probably going to end up with 14m units sales lifetime seeing how badly the system is performing.

What's the approx LTD right now?

You're probably right. That is a very poor number for them this year given the much better lineup of games.

I wonder how long they will support Wii U given all this.

Around 7.7m. It's probably going to end up at around 9m at the end of this year.

Ouch. That's worse than I thought. I think it probably will beat your 15 mill number, but not by much.

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Seece on 11 December 2014

BHR-3 said:

Seece said:

He isn't unfortunately. Most XB1 + PS4 can be is 2.1m, given they're under 80% of where PS360 were at the same point.

yeah just cuaght up in here and the gaf thread, ouch looks like there both close to or just at a Mill each if the 7-10k gap is true, still my numberes gave a better indication to what the 3 did compared to each other than anyones else beliefs on here and even vgcs 400k gap and 380k WiiUs sold although there werent many other predictions made

All 3 combined I was closer with my prediction on GAF :P

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benji232 on 11 December 2014

Fusioncode said:
So this is by far the worst tracking VGC has ever done right? I mean the XBO overtracked by at least 500k,WiiU overtracked by 140k, 3DS undertracked by 200k, only PS4 seems to be within the right margins. I hope ioi takes the time to look at these numbers and realize his methodology is badly in need of an overhaul. Impossible to defend tracking this bad.

Really? Link to the source please?

Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M