with a strong US,should be around 100k or just over,you'd think MS will keep XOne ultra competitive in the US/UK markets from now on

Not available on PS3/360.

Essentially if you want to play new games in 2015, you have to get a new console. This is traditionally the driving force behind console sales- not slighter better versions of games you already have access to. I think this will reflect a lot in 2015 console sales. Everything will up YOY quite significantly. January will be the only excemption. 

So a good few games in feb and one game in june. What about the other 4 months? whats suposed to improve the x1 above 50k in the other 4 moonth dry spell? And whos to say theres anything right after E3, wich I donth there is anything untill the hollidays for the x1. While all the whiyle sony will be pumping at least 3 more games evenly spread out. So im seeing 2 good months then at least 6 months with nothing and the x1 droping below 50k, even 40k.

Without any gammes they will not secure 40k in the us and uk. And we are looking at at least 6 moths of barren releases from either third partys and specially first party, while sony will have only like 2-3 months without releases.

Im thinking around 85k. EU numbers will drop hard but its US will keep it from reaching pre pricedrop levels. That could all change depending on whether sony makes a pricecut

If the price goes back up then I think sales will drop like a stone early next year (according Microsoft this is a temporary price drop, not a permanent one), 40K maximum in that case and that's why I voted 30-40K. If the price stays the same as it is now then maybe 60K because there's very little reason to get an XB1 when PS4 will be getting a huge slew of exclusives throughout the year, multiplats are favored on PS4 and I think that's going to have a huge effect on where people decide to spend their money next year.

People know that the XB1 will drop in price again sooner rather than later, so why should they get the system in baseline weeks when they can wait until it drops in price again? Master Chief, FH2 and Sunset Overdrive have spiked the numbers for now, but only Sunset Overdrive is a true exclusive to the platform and there's doubt as to whether it will stay an exclusives after it's been insisted that DR3 and Ryse would only be on XB1. The games dropping on the platform in the 1st half of next year that aren't coming to PS4 are available elsewhere. There's very little that will keep momentum up after the holidays to make people jump on board with the XB1.

I wouldn't be shocked if 40K was where the baseline will be even if the price stays as it is now on weeks when no new games are releasing, people will most likely wait.

Momentum. Its the same reason Wii U still hasn't dropped to pre MK8 levels. Its the same reason PS4 went without major release in between march and june yet still sustained a very strong baseline. The Xbox is in a superior position to what it was in the summer, Year 2 sales are always higher- theres no reason to think Xbox is in risk of falling off the map with sub 50k sales. 

Jan: Dying Light+ post holiday momentum.

Feb: WItcher 3/Evolve- 2 potentially huge release, both likely to be pushed by MS based on previous E3's. The biggest releases of that month and none are available on 360/PS3. That will push hardware no doubt

March: Battlefield Hardline- obviously a big release

Q2 is quite an unknown quantity but is looking like it will Arkham Dark Knight, Fable Legends, Mortal Kombat X. Obviously theres only so much we can know this far in advance but its looking strong.  

It depends on if MS go back to the 399 pricing or not in January. They have no games for the first 6-9 months of 2015 so they're gonna need that 349 very badly.

Is that daily or hourly?

Momentum is achived when a company like sony or nintendo did, they did something good lie release the supirior console or some good games, and have something good or better coming like more exclusive games, pricecut, adquisitions, new product and more. MS has no momentum, they are riding on a desperate temporary pricecut, new releases all pushhed for the same month, bundle games and holliday boost. Most those things end this very month and jsut the pricecut is left untill dec. As soon as jan is here they hae zero momentum, and coming foward they offer nothing that its not available on a supririor console like the ps4, the price will go up, no exclusive games, while the competition will be fightinhard and release new exclusives, amibos, possible pricecut and more.

So no, the x1 has no momentum, just a temporary spike like its had before, just that this time it will last a litle longer and like before it will completlty banish as soon as whats beiing ofered stops.