What will the Xbox One's baseline be next year?

[eva01beserk]

teigaga said:

eva01beserk said:

teigaga said:

At the moment is this what the first half of the year is looking like.

Dying light (next gen exclusive)
Wicther 3 (next gen exclusive)
Evolve (next gen exclusive)
Battlefield Hardline 
Fable Legends (X1 exclusive)
Arkham Knight (next gen exclusive)

Hardware sales are not going to sit idle because devs in 2015 have now quit the PS3 and 360. people have to take that into account when presuming a baseline.

So a good few games in feb and one game in june. What about the other 4 months? whats suposed to improve the x1 above 50k in the other 4 moonth dry spell? And whos to say theres anything right after E3, wich I donth there is anything untill the hollidays for the x1. While all the whiyle sony will be pumping at least 3 more games evenly spread out. So im seeing 2 good months then at least 6 months with nothing and the x1 droping below 50k, even 40k.

Momentum. Its the same reason Wii U still hasn't dropped to pre MK8 levels. Its the same reason PS4 went without major release in between march and june yet still sustained a very strong baseline. The Xbox is in a superior position to what it was in the summer, Year 2 sales are always higher- theres no reason to think Xbox is in risk of falling off the map with sub 50k sales. 

Jan: Dying Light+ post holiday momentum.

Feb: WItcher 3/Evolve- 2 potentially huge release, both likely to be pushed by MS based on previous E3's. The biggest releases of that month and none are available on 360/PS3. That will push hardware no doubt

March: Battlefield Hardline- obviously a big release

Q2 is quite an unknown quantity but is looking like it will Arkham Dark Knight, Fable Legends, Mortal Kombat X. Obviously theres only so much we can know this far in advance but its looking strong.  

Momentum is achived when a company like sony or nintendo did, they did something good lie release the supirior console or some good games, and have something good or better coming like more exclusive games, pricecut, adquisitions, new product and more. MS has no momentum, they are riding on a desperate temporary pricecut, new releases all pushhed for the same month, bundle games and holliday boost. Most those things end this very month and jsut the pricecut is left untill dec. As soon as jan is here they hae zero momentum, and coming foward they offer nothing that its not available on a supririor console like the ps4, the price will go up, no exclusive games, while the competition will be fightinhard and release new exclusives, amibos, possible pricecut and more.

So no, the x1 has no momentum, just a temporary spike like its had before, just that this time it will last a litle longer and like before it will completlty banish as soon as whats beiing ofered stops.