Me and Stickball both believe in over 10 million X360s sold in 2008, so no, it's not past its peak.

That was a long article (I didn't read much) but as people have pointed out it got the numbers wrong.

Some people get blinded because of the recent success of the PS3, but if you examine the numbers - and if vgchartz is to be trusted - you see that the X360 is selling better YOY (as Stickball said), and is selling over 500,000 consoles per month. That is exactly on track with my prediction, and after the price drop, which should come soon, the X360 may reach 600,000 per month. Add to that 3.5-4 mill sold in the holidays (Nov-Dec) and we have a 10 million X360 year.

Also people keep saying the PS3 will have more games this year then the 360 when according to the release schedule so far the 360 has more games. If you look at March and April it seems like it is something that will continue. Of course things could change so who knows. Also I know people keep saying the PS3 has more AAA games then the 360 which again it is debatable as we don't know that to be the case until the games are actually released.

Bottomline is yes the PS3 is doing better but what do people expect for it to go but up. Similar the 360 was not just going to run away it when they have two great competitors and they just flat out refuse to lose move on the 360 hence the lack of price drops etc. Will be interesting year especially following it here in vgchartz heh

I didn't read the entire article, but I don't really think the 360 is past it's peak, but I think it's getting there. The 3rd year of a consoles life usually is the peak, and I don't really expect it to be much different for the 360. At the same time, I don't expect it's sales to increase much YOY simply because after so many big name, great games came out last year (Halo 3, ME, Bioshock, COD4, etc), I just don't see how this year could match up to it. And even if it does, I don't expect sales to be too much higher.

Also this "and arguably the best traditional controller of those available" I don't agree with. I'd take the PS3 controller over the 360 controller, the Wii controller over both, and the keyboard over all of them.

 ok, so the 360 gets to 600000/month. cool.

FYI, the PS3 has sold 716000 units in the last month (last four weeks) I'm not saying the 360 is finished, but I am saying that it will be very difficult for the 360 to ever outsell the PS3 consistently in the future. (whether it con do that in NA alone is another story.)

I think this article is a little premature. However, if the PS3's recent surge in popularity (in NA in particular) is substained, especially once GTAIV launches, then the 360 is at least going to have a real perception problem.

It will be perceived as the losing console, even if it's still ahead by millions technically. That's never a selling point. Not to consumers, not to industry and not to investors. So MS will have to fight hard to at least keep the race too close to call.

Even though it's guaranteed to sell better than xbox, going from 2nd last generation to 3rd (ie: last!) this generation shows fundimental weakness unless it's a damn close 3rd. But heck, GC was only about 2m behind xbox (is actually ahead now) when 360 launched and it was considered a flop (profitability notwithstanding) by all.

Last year MS had the best game line-up. No one disputes that. This year... It's good, really good, but not as great as last year and PS3's will be just as good if not better. So how does MS maintain it's momentum is the question we're all wanting to see the answer too.

That is a good point, and something that has pissed me off for a while now. I think MS made a big mistake by being over-confident going into the '07 holidays relying only on the (then) superior gaming library, and not dropping the price like the PS3 did. I'm of the strong opinion that they should have dropped the price too, building on the strong momentum that they had. Because now, if they want to do a drastic price drop it would by many be seen as an act of desperation. The PS3 in just three months went from loser to winner, and MS did nothing about it. Now they can only play catch up.

I know everyone wants a price drop including me but is really not that bad at least here in the states. Is others or even Japan that need a serious price drop. Remember they sold a hell of alot from September to December at the higher price just having two packed in games. Now that they are getting rid of all those systems they will drop the price and be on a role again.

MS is over confident it seems but it is not stupid. They have access to research that go beyond what we have available and have a good idea on how to make money which they done finally in the last couple of quarters.

Just saying don't sleep on the 360. They may not do things the way we want them to but they are the ones with billions of dollars not us :)

Yes, I am saying currently the PS3 doesn't have a "Wow" factor either. Its why neither of the consoles sell as well as the Wii. The PS3 does have some ambitious things coming. Home can change the way we view a gaming console entirely. Instead of just turning on a console, playing a game, and then turning it off, you can have your idle time be occupied by meeting up with friends, family, or clans. Clan recruiting would be different, peolple who like cetain games can meet up and make new friends.

All the extra features of the PS3 aside, on the gaming side the PS3 has been stated by developers to have huge untapped potential. We've seen parts of that in Heavy Rain, Final Fantasy, Killzone, RFOM2, GT5. Those games are jaw dropping, atleast by the looks of it so far. Nothing up to this point on the 360 has even near the levels those games are shooting for. No preview of any game has hinted towards being near that level either. GeoW2 may, but we haven't seen any video/images from that yet. Its been over a year since Gears of War, and that is still the best looking game on the 360. 

Thats where my issue relies. I don't want the 360 to go away, I couldn't care less. And evidentally, neither can the rest of the world outside of NA after Halo 3. Any exclusive on the 360, save Bioshock, Gears, would only leave me slightly impressed if it appeared on the original Xbox. Sure the 360 might have a few games that will get lots of publicity or have great storylines that will sell, but no game on the 360 is going to sell just because of the looks or what its trying to technically. Thats what people paid over $300 dollars for. Its for a HUGE upgrade, not a PS2.5. The 360 has a good library of solid games like I said, but not for the reasons we upgraded consoles for.

Of course you can say its all my opinion, which it 100% is. If you think Halo 3 is a masterpiece that we couldn't even imagine was possible on the PS2 or Xbox, good for you. I, however think that "next-gen" should be ALOT better than all that. If thats all this generation has to offer, then I doubt the PS3 and 360 combined will ever reach half the PS2's install base combined. Complete failure.

Oh, please.  Moving from standard res gaming to high-res gaming with significantly more horsepower isn't much of a jump?

i don't really think it's past it yet. There still is GTAIV (YES I KNOW IT'S MULTIPLATFORM) and Gears so it still has life in it.......Maybe next year....then it will be past its peak