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Forums - Sales - Pachter Analysis/ Estimate of August NPD - 175k PS4; 150k X1; 65k Wii U

The PS4 has 2 SKUs in top the top 10 since forever and Madden bundle dropped out of top 25 after 2 days. Where would these predictions come from? I have a good idea.



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I honestly don't get the Pachter hate, he's paid to make predictions not to be right.



In this day and age, with the Internet, ignorance is a choice! And they're still choosing Ignorance! - Dr. Filthy Frank

Patcher does pull numbers from his ass, but the PS4 and X1 being (relatively) close this month is perfectly possible. If the X1's Madden bundle did well, and if the PS4's Destiny bundle has pulled some potential August buyers into September, the gap between them should be smaller. The same logic also says it will be larger next month.



Welfare said:
Normchacho said:
Uuuuhhhhh? So the Xbox One is going to be almost the same as the PS4 huh? You keep on keeping on Patcher.

- PS4 demand potentially falling due to White Destiny bundle being in early September.

- One Madden bundle that attracts the 360 Madden fans that hadn't made the jump yet

Yeah I could see it. If he said PS4

I could see some minor changes but he nearly has them equal and I'd actually bet that Madden either sells pretty much equally if not better on the PS4.



Bet with Adamblaziken:

I bet that on launch the Nintendo Switch will have no built in in-game voice chat. He bets that it will. The winner gets six months of avatar control over the other user.

The Madden Bundle did sell out very quickly (on Amazon) but there was probably a limited supply.

Here.

August 2014 Video Games on Amazon

Madden Bundle for August at #49.
PS4 at #2

Just for fun.  Destiny on Xbox One out-preordered the PS4 stand alone copy (which was also out-preordered by the Destiny Bundle)



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shikamaru317 said:
DakonBlackblade said:
Why would XOne be up on a month nothign at all happened to the XOne

Madden bundle and exclusive marketing deal. Madden shot the Xbox One up to just behind the PS4 on both Amazon's and Gamestop's charts for that week, plus it had a few weeks of preorders as well.


O ye I completly forgot about the Madden bundle. So Patcher is probably right in expecting XOnes rise this month. Ppl take his predictions too literaly, he is not supposed and is not interested in getting the numbers right, his position is to evaluate market tedencys wich he usualy does quite well, thats why he is so sought after by investors.

Ssenkahdavic said:

The Madden Bundle did sell out very quickly (on Amazon) but there was probably a limited supply.

Here.

August 2014 Video Games on Amazon

Madden Bundle for August at #49.
PS4 at #2

Just for fun.  Destiny on Xbox One out-preordered the PS4 stand alone copy (which was also out-preordered by the Destiny Bundle)

So more ppl bought a PS4 + Destiny than they bought Destiny for XOne without the console ? If thast true its pretty insane.



His predictions are close to mine except for PS4.



    

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Meaning big Wii U overtrack on VGC. Not surprising.



My 8th gen collection

ICStats said:
Meaning big Wii U overtrack on VGC. Not surprising.


meaning is a guess from Pachter



MoHasanie said:
His predictions are close to mine except for PS4.


That's how you know you are wrong.