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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 will probably get to around 16 Million by 1 January 2015

Puppyroach said:
Ninsect said:
Puppyroach said:
I Think PS4 will reach roughly 16M, and X1 around 10M.

So PS4 will sell 1.6m from here and XB1 2.4m? 

It depends on if you believe the VGC numbers or not. They stood at 13.5M shipped at the end of September, and I don't think they have reached that number just yet. I am thinking PS4 is at about 13M sell through right now, X1 is probably more or less correct. If we are talking shipments, then that is another story.

So PS4 1.4m overtracked? Doesn't make a lick of sense tbh



The One and Only

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Ninsect said:
Puppyroach said:
Ninsect said:

So PS4 will sell 1.6m from here and XB1 2.4m? 

It depends on if you believe the VGC numbers or not. They stood at 13.5M shipped at the end of September, and I don't think they have reached that number just yet. I am thinking PS4 is at about 13M sell through right now, X1 is probably more or less correct. If we are talking shipments, then that is another story.

So PS4 1.4m overtracked? Doesn't make a lick of sense tbh

Not sure why some still choose to blindly underestimate the PS4.  And not sure how anyone can believe the PS4 has not sold through those shipments, given the current trends and the fact it has been almost 2 months since that number and we are ramping up for the holidays.

 Oh, but the XBO is spot on.  



Ninsect said:
PS4 will be at 16m+ before the end of November so unless it sells nothing in December 16m is completely impossible

eh eh, it's amazing how some people can't even do 1+1=2.

1) According to VGC, PS4 is at 14.4M by week ending 15th Nov. By the week ending 22nd Nov, PS4 will most probably pass 15M. We have other 5 weeks after the week-ending 22nd Nov to go to the end of 2014.  It's easy even for my cat to forecast 17+M by the end of 2014.  if PS4 only sells 400k as an average(very conservative) in these 5 weeks, you have 15M + 5X400k = 17M.  This is very very conservative. I would say PS4 will sell between 17.5M and 18M by the end of 2014.  I'm saving this page and I will quote myself at the end of 2014 to see if I was right. 



”Every great dream begins with a dreamer. Always remember, you have within you the strength, the patience, and the passion to reach for the stars to change the world.”

Harriet Tubman.

Puppyroach said:

It depends on if you believe the VGC numbers or not. They stood at 13.5M shipped at the end of September, and I don't think they have reached that number just yet. I am thinking PS4 is at about 13M sell through right now, X1 is probably more or less correct. If we are talking shipments, then that is another story.

Oh, wow ... You're in for an awakening.

But the XB1 is more or less right LOL



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Ninsect said:
I'm thinking ~14.5m now

you mean 17.5M ? I'm sure it's just a mistake in typing.



”Every great dream begins with a dreamer. Always remember, you have within you the strength, the patience, and the passion to reach for the stars to change the world.”

Harriet Tubman.

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GribbleGrunger said:
Puppyroach said:

It depends on if you believe the VGC numbers or not. They stood at 13.5M shipped at the end of September, and I don't think they have reached that number just yet. I am thinking PS4 is at about 13M sell through right now, X1 is probably more or less correct. If we are talking shipments, then that is another story.

Oh, wow ... You're in for an awakening.

But the XB1 is more or less right LOL


Don't even bother to silly comments.   



”Every great dream begins with a dreamer. Always remember, you have within you the strength, the patience, and the passion to reach for the stars to change the world.”

Harriet Tubman.

Nate4Drake said:


Don't even bother to silly comments.   

Yes, but it wouldn't be anywhere near as much fun if we didn't have wishful thinkers like that.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Nate4Drake said:
Ninsect said:
PS4 will be at 16m+ before the end of November so unless it sells nothing in December 16m is completely impossible

eh eh, it's amazing how some people can't even do 1+1=2.

1) According to VGC, PS4 is at 14.4M by week ending 15th Nov. By the week ending 22nd Nov, PS4 will most probably pass 15M. We have other 5 weeks after the week-ending 22nd Nov to go to the end of 2014.  It's easy even for my cat to forecast 17+M by the end of 2014.  if PS4 only sells 400k as an average(very conservative) in these 5 weeks, you have 15M + 5X400k = 17M.  This is very very conservative. I would say PS4 will sell between 17.5M and 18M by the end of 2014.  I'm saving this page and I will quote myself at the end of 2014 to see if I was right. 

You won't be right since PS4 should be around 20m by the end of 2014



The One and Only

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Ninsect said:

You won't be right since PS4 should be around 20m by the end of 2014

Yeah, it's definitely going to be very high. It's probably just over 15m right now. Add in a million for Black Friday (or around that figure) and Christmas week and that puts you at 17 million alone.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


DolPhanTendo said:
Last time I checked 22 year olds do not buy 400 dollar gifts for people. Like I said before WiiU will dominate this holiday season. They have the games and now Amiibo to help kids get their parents to buy it for them. IF This quarter they are in the black, which could very well happen, you might even see a 50 dollar price cut in November.


lol keep dreaming buddy.