Will Wii U hit 10 million by the end of 2014? | |||
| Yes | 504 | 59.64% | |
| No | 339 | 40.12% | |
| Total: | 843 | ||
To anybody quoting the 3.6 million number and Iwata's "conservative" comment, that is for the FISCAL year, not CALENDER year. April 2014 - March 2015, not April 2014 - December 2014. Just pointing it out there.
Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287
| Welfare said: To anybody quoting the 3.6 million number and Iwata's "conservative" comment, that is for the FISCAL year, not CALENDER year. April 2014 - March 2015, not April 2014 - December 2014. Just pointing it out there. |
a pre mario kart8 estimate...it might be deliberate...nintendo is used to missing goals,so set purposely a low standard ,in order to exceed it and subsequently suprise us pleasanlty...you may disagree,but is a strong likelihood
XBox One will be around 9 to 10. Wii U will be between 10 to 11 million. It may take a year or two for the XBox One to over take the Wii U and close down the one million gap. Wii U has tricks/games up its sleeve to delay the inevitable of the XBox One overtaking it some time this generation.
Nothing in the games industry is a "safe bet" anymore. However, with some (far better) strong advertising, MK8, Bayonetta, (possibly) Devil's Third, and if they can manage to get Smash Wii U (aka the real game) out before Black Friday, then yes, I think there is always a CHANCE that Wii U could reach if not 10 mil, then at least close. I think, at the very least, it will stay within 2 mil. of PS4, and that's something.
| Dark_Lord_2008 said: XBox One will be around 9 to 10. Wii U will be between 10 to 11 million. It may take a year or two for the XBox One to over take the Wii U and close down the one million gap. Wii U has tricks/games up its sleeve to delay the inevitable of the XBox One overtaking it some time this generation. |
No offense, but what makes you think that? I'm just curious, because at least according to VGC numbers, Wii U is actually nearly 2 million ahead of Xbone, and sitting at 5 million units sold, posting another 5 million by the end of December would truly be a feat indeed. Wii U possibly making up around 3 million between now and then (with a good holiday blitz, pushing the MK8 bundle more, and SB), is feasible. I just don't see ANY of the three consoles selling 5 million units in just a few months though.
As for Xbone overtaking Wii U LT? Who the hell knows. Anything can happen, honestly. And if Zelda is as amazing as it has potential to be, along with "X", and especially if "Amiibo" takes off, I dunno. Wii U certainly does have some games up it's sleeve, and inevitably many more will be revealed for 2015/16/etc. So we'll see.
It definitely can hit that 10M mark. If not, it should get close thanks to upcoming releases for it.
Year 2021 - 'Still patiently waiting for Fire Emblem WiiU no signs of change... They say "It's right on schedule"'
Holiday bundles will influence a lot for this.
If you guys have any ideas or just want to vote on who will have the best holiday bundles check this threat.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=188242
It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.
| gcube2000 said: Here's my prediction. Post yours in the comments. Wii U had a tough first half of 2014. Selling nearly as bad as 2013. Mario Kart 8 had come and has boosted Wii U sales for 2 months now and has had a steady baseline for awhile of 60k. If this keeps up it should hit 7 million in about a month. Which is going to be the very beggining of September. When will it hit 8 million? By September Wii U baseline should drop just slightly to 50k-55k. Probably will sell 250k because of Hyrule Warriors at the end of the month. Puts Wii U at about 7.3m... Now lets go to October.... Probably will have a very small boost to baseline.. selling about 65k to maybe 70k. So lets say 67.5k. Now with Bayonetta 2 at the end of the month.. it will give it a small boost. Wii U will probably sell just short of 300k in October. This puts Wii U at 7.6m... Now November.. it has 5 weeks.... Smash Bros will probably release in mid-late november. Along with Sonic Boom and Captain Toad Treasure Tracker. November I think will top 1,000,000 because of this. Maybe even a bit over. and Black Friday and getting close to holidays. Wii U will have sold 8.7m... December.. the largest month in terms of sales. Probably will be 2,000,000. Putting Wii U at 10.7m sold..... There's not a doubt in my mind it can't hit this. It did nearly 1.76m in Dec 2012 and 1.14m in Dec 2013.
EDIT: I forgot about Amiibo. |
I think there's a good chance Wii U will do it.
However I was just looking at a similar data point of Xbox 360 in 2007:
Jun-2007 390K
Jul-2007 267K (Pending price cut effect)
Aug-2007 413K (Price cuts)
Sep-2007 824K (Halo 3)
Oct-2007 767K (Launch of XB360 Arcade, PGR 4)
Nov-2007 1036K (Mass Effect)
Dec-2007 2196K
| ICStats said: I think there's a good chance Wii U will do it. However I was just looking at a similar data point of Xbox 360 in 2007: Jun-2007 390K So in Nov/Dec 2007 the XB360 hit sales around 1M/2.2M, close to your estimate for Wii U.
Compared to Wii U, XB360 had a higher baseline in that summer, and then got price cuts. It also got Halo 3, PGR 4 & Mass Effect exclusives. The point here is I don't see Wii U being quite as strong as XB360 was to push to 1M/2M in Nov/Dec. |
Nintendo has always done particularly well during holidays. 3DS did 315k in July 2011, and then in December sold 4.8 million units. I'm not sure a comparison with 360 in 2007 is a good comparison.
It should be able to hit 10m, that seems feasible.
Momentum and upcoming releases seem good; Hyrule Warriors, Bayonetta 2, Sonic Boom, Captain Toad, Smash Bros., plus MK8 and the strong library Wii U has built so far (Mario 3D World, Donkey Kong, NSMBU, Zelda WW HD, Pikmin 3 etc.), Amiibo, bundles... It's set to be very successful indeed.
Also, Nintendo's holiday boost in November/December is always insanely big.
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