| gcube2000 said: Here's my prediction. Post yours in the comments. Wii U had a tough first half of 2014. Selling nearly as bad as 2013. Mario Kart 8 had come and has boosted Wii U sales for 2 months now and has had a steady baseline for awhile of 60k. If this keeps up it should hit 7 million in about a month. Which is going to be the very beggining of September. When will it hit 8 million? By September Wii U baseline should drop just slightly to 50k-55k. Probably will sell 250k because of Hyrule Warriors at the end of the month. Puts Wii U at about 7.3m... Now lets go to October.... Probably will have a very small boost to baseline.. selling about 65k to maybe 70k. So lets say 67.5k. Now with Bayonetta 2 at the end of the month.. it will give it a small boost. Wii U will probably sell just short of 300k in October. This puts Wii U at 7.6m... Now November.. it has 5 weeks.... Smash Bros will probably release in mid-late november. Along with Sonic Boom and Captain Toad Treasure Tracker. November I think will top 1,000,000 because of this. Maybe even a bit over. and Black Friday and getting close to holidays. Wii U will have sold 8.7m... December.. the largest month in terms of sales. Probably will be 2,000,000. Putting Wii U at 10.7m sold..... There's not a doubt in my mind it can't hit this. It did nearly 1.76m in Dec 2012 and 1.14m in Dec 2013.
EDIT: I forgot about Amiibo. |
I think there's a good chance Wii U will do it.
However I was just looking at a similar data point of Xbox 360 in 2007:
Jun-2007 390K
Jul-2007 267K (Pending price cut effect)
Aug-2007 413K (Price cuts)
Sep-2007 824K (Halo 3)
Oct-2007 767K (Launch of XB360 Arcade, PGR 4)
Nov-2007 1036K (Mass Effect)
Dec-2007 2196K
Compared to Wii U, XB360 had a higher baseline in that summer, and then got price cuts. It also got Halo 3, PGR 4 & Mass Effect exclusives.
The point here is I don't see Wii U being quite as strong as XB360 was to push to 1M/2M in Nov/Dec.
