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ICStats said:
I think there's a good chance Wii U will do it.

However I was just looking at a similar data point of Xbox 360 in 2007:

Jun-2007 390K
Jul-2007 267K (Pending price cut effect)
Aug-2007 413K (Price cuts)
Sep-2007 824K (Halo 3)
Oct-2007 767K (Launch of XB360 Arcade, PGR 4)
Nov-2007 1036K (Mass Effect)
Dec-2007 2196K

So in Nov/Dec 2007 the XB360 hit sales around 1M/2.2M, close to your estimate for Wii U.
Compared to Wii U, XB360 had a higher baseline in that summer, and then got price cuts.  It also got Halo 3, PGR 4 & Mass Effect exclusives.

The point here is I don't see Wii U being quite as strong as XB360 was to push to 1M/2M in Nov/Dec.

Nintendo has always done particularly well during holidays. 3DS did 315k in July 2011, and then in December sold 4.8 million units. I'm not sure a comparison with 360 in 2007 is a good comparison.