90k is probably too high then

People may get disappointed becaus eit won't be moving many more units, yet. And btw people will prefer a PS4, because some games like destiny is better played there and TLOU re-release is just next month

45k for this first week after the $399 price, about 15% higher then back down to selling horrible again. Might help for holiday sales a bit, but if Wii U drops price to $250 or has some awesome bundles (I expect they won't drop price, but have some good bundles essential dropping price with retailers giving gift cards) and xb1 doesn't have great bundles without raising price then PS4 will dominate followed by 3DS, Wii U, PSVITA, then XBOX ONE

Well the price drop clearly wasn't the issue because even the Wii U has been capable of selling much more. Price drops is just what consumers want, but what the Xbox One clearly needed was new software to drive sales and clearly that's not happening yet.

around 100k, but i think we will see the actual effect of this price drop in the holiday season, because i guess everyone who wanted a xbone by now already got one.

Early indicators haven't really shown much of spike on the best seller lists E.T.C.  I expect a bump but nothing spectacular.  Perhaps 60k?

Actually with standouts like FM5, DR3, KI, and Titanfall over heavy hitters like Killzone and Infamous, X1 has enough compelling software that PS4 can't play.

What the issue is is in fact price, and consumers not wanting kinect mandatory. Both problems solved.

I believe it will get a good size boost but no more than 110k
i just dont see it doing well around the world except US and UK

Why no option for 40,000? XBO is currently selling under 40,000 weekly, who's to say a Kinect-Free model will help sales at all?

I don't see a burst of sales during week 1, it's not like people were waiting on a Kinect-free model to buy an XB1 (Those people bought PS4's already). However when Halo 2 and Forza Horizon 2 release we will see bigger boosts now that there is a Kinect-free system.

voted 50,000 I think there will be a small boost, but nothing special. Maybe even just 45,000

I'm not sure that the new SKU will outsell the Titanfall bundle. I still see the bundle as a better value.