If the ps2 couldnt do it then no way the ps4 can
| Shadow1980 said: Not impossible, but I think it's extremely unlikely. I do think it stands a very good chance of selling roughly around PS2 numbers (140-160 million) due to decreased competition from Nintendo and general growth in the market size, but I don't think the market is quite big enough for a 200-million-seller. Maybe if the XBO ends up by some fluke selling as poorly as the Wii U, then maybe, but the XBO is looking to do well enough in America (maybe not first place, but definitely capable of holding its own against the PS4) to where there's not enough of the global market available for the PS4 to sell 200 million units. At present, there are 260 million seventh-gen home consoles on the market, and assuming that just as many hardware units are sold this generation, Sony would have to capture over 75% of all hardware sales this generation, comparable to the portion of sixth-gen console sales held by the PS2, and I don't see quite that level of domination for reasons mentioned earlier. Of course, this is assuming that 200 million is even numerically possible in the first place. Let's not forget that not all households are single-system households, and as there is some overlap thanks to multi-system households (I have almost every system made ever), there are obviously fewer than 260 million console-owning households. However, the exact number is not certain due to insufficient data, so we can only make rough guesses as to the "true size" of the console market. In the sixth generation it was most likely greater than 150 million (the number of PS2s sold) and definitely less than 210 million (the total number of consoles sold that gen). Given population growth and the increasing average age of gamers the market has probably grown some since then, but there's still a wide possible range. Unfortunately, the only source I have found on numbers of console-owning households was a Nielsen report from a couple of years ago and that covers only the U.S, but if the estimated consoles per household ratio is the same everywhere else (which is probably isn't, and is likely lower), the number of console-owning households worldwide may not quite be 200 million. Even if there are or will be enough households (certainly a possibility, considering gaming's explosive growth over the past 30 years), the proportion of those households that Sony would need to buy PS4s for the system to hit 200 million may be nearly impossible to attain. |
I think we really have to take account of indirect factors like that which pumped up sales before.
PS1 & PS2 -> huge levels of piracy. A lot of PS2's were purchased and modded immediately.
PS1 & PS2 -> drive failure issues, driving people to replace them.
Xbox 360 -> whole system failures, drive failures, noisy DVD drives, driving people to replace and update to newer model.
If the PS4 is very stable and hack proof then it will actually sell less units, but would be bigger success for Sony.
no
The only way that would be feasible is if:
Xbox One sells similar to the original xbox if not less.
The wiiU continues to sell terribly.
The steambox ends up failing.
And all of those potential customers decided to buy a ps4 instead of going with a pc or a tablet for their gaming needs.
I just don't see it.
Something...Something...Games...Something
200 million?
no way
200.000 million!!!!!!!!!
If this is trolling, I admire it. The number is just so large it raises the ire of rational readers, but not so large (like 10 billion) that everyone recognizes as trolling. Bravo!
As for the actual number. Just not going to happen. Those kind of yearly sales just are not happening, even with much cheaper handhelds. 100 Million would be an extraordinary success. My own guess is 70M lifetime (outselling XB1 by wide margin), due to fierce competition and a mainstream market that has fundamentally changed and consumes games in a completely different way.
I feel like, at this point anyway, there lies an opportunity for PS4 to surpass PS2 sales eventually. This all depends on whether or not the general consumer enthusiasm holds up. But if it does hold up, or even increase, then PS4 could end up breaking more records outside of just the launch period.
200M is not impossible, though that number is probably the maximum that it could possibly sell. My guess is 150-200M, as long as the PS4 never loses momentum this gen.
pretty accurate if you ask me i'm thinking more in the 300million consoles. i am however a console counter.
probably 200million for the wii u and like 174million for the xbone.
vita like 150million 3ds is probably pretty close to 400million.
____________________
this counting was done by me
ps4overxbone™
| ps4overxbone said: pretty accurate if you ask me i'm thinking more in the 300million consoles. i am however a console counter. probably 200million for the wii u and like 174million for the xbone.
vita like 150million 3ds is probably pretty close to 400million. ____________________
this counting was done by me ps4overxbone |
Alright, who's alt are you?
Sigs are dumb. And so are you!
epic!!
"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007
Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions
Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.
About Us |
Terms of Use |
Privacy Policy |
Advertise |
Staff |
Contact
Display As Desktop
Display As Mobile
© 2006-2025 VGChartz Ltd. All rights reserved.
