All this really indicates is that Japan has a 22% chance of suffering another catastrophic natural disaster in the next 2 years.
There is a 95% chance that i don't take this analysis serious.
“It appeared that there had even been demonstrations to thank Big Brother for raising the chocolate ration to twenty grams a week. And only yesterday, he reflected, it had been announced that the ration was to be reduced to twenty grams a week. Was it possible that they could swallow that, after only twenty-four hours? Yes, they swallowed it.”
- George Orwell, ‘1984’
| MohammadBadir said: I'll sum up the posts in this thread: |
Pretty much.
Aielyn said:
The numbers provided here are meaningless, and thus I distrust the claim being made. The probability of bankruptcy of all stocks can't possibly be 122.48% lower, because that would make the probability negative, and probabilities can't be negative. Furthermore, one cannot talk of a probability of an event being "182% higher" than that of another event - anybody with even a meagre grasp on statistics knows that this is a meaningless thing to say. As much as I think Sony is in financial trouble, I don't think this supposed analysis is meaningful. And, just as with any other case of analysis being released for free, I find it to be highly suspicious. |
Learn how to read statistics before you comment.
If my company has a 20% chance of failing and yours has a 50% of failing. Your chance of failing can be read as 150% higher than mine.
That doesn't mean you are at 170%. Your number is just 150% or 2.5x higher than my number.
Lol, this whole thread is reminding me of someone named fi.
Predictions for LT console sales:
PS4: 120M
XB1: 70M
WiiU: 14M
3DS: 60M
Vita: 13M
Things that need to die in 2016: Defeatist attitudes of Nintendo fans
The greatest problem of Sony are his debts. Without the debts i believe they will be a strong Company but with them hmm. But what you all not calculate are they have 9 billion dolar reserve Money. Jes they are not to much when you see how much money thej have burn.
People they hate in the Internet thej have all small pe.....
PS4 will save SONY
PS3
Vita
Sell Buldings
Smartphones
TV's
"Hardware design isn’t about making the most powerful thing you can.
Today most hardware design is left to other companies, but when you make hardware without taking into account the needs of the eventual software developers, you end up with bloated hardware full of pointless excess. From the outset one must consider design from both a hardware and software perspective."
Gunpei Yoko
| irstupid said: Learn how to read statistics before you comment. If my company has a 20% chance of failing and yours has a 50% of failing. Your chance of failing can be read as 150% higher than mine. That doesn't mean you are at 170%. Your number is just 150% or 2.5x higher than my number. |
I have a PhD in Mathematics. I know all about statistics. The statistics there are meaningless. If your company has a 20% chance of failing and mine has a 50% chance of failing, then my company has a 30% higher chance of failing. That's how probability works. You can say that you have a 2.5x greater chance, but you can't say 150% higher chance.
More importantly, as I pointed out, it can't be 120% lower chance, because that would make a negative chance, either way. They probably intended it to be read as "the chance of the other thing is 120% higher", but nobody with any understanding of mathematics and statistics would use the "120% lower chance".
| MohammadBadir said: I'll sum up the posts in this thread: |
But this isn't happening...
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