This seems about right. I'm going with this prediction.

So does this mean Machina is still lurking around VGC? Why doesn't he just come back here instead of using you?

... Or... are you Machina?!

This is GAF 2.0 didn't you know ;P

No, do you see the little '     ' I dusagree that either are gaining momentum, it was used to shoot down his argument that it was.

500k, when you do 300k~ in a November with Black friday. 500k DOES become an impossibility, unless we see major intervention from Nintendo. Will we? I very much doubt it.

I linked the thread, he browses here and GAF, and I dunno why he doesn't come back.

Trolling is doooooooooooooooooomed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It would be really nice if you are right. Too bad the actual market is not going to be that responsive to the Wii U come Jan.

Uh? It sold 490k in November. 

lol, 500k in January is completely delusional.

I'll be nice and say 40k for the US, 120k for Japan (because Japan gets a large boost for week 1), less than 35k for Europe.

So just under 200k.

And you have now proven yourself to be full of it.

As benji pointed out, the Worldwide figure for November was actually in the ballpark of 470k (or 490k, possibly - I'm using VGChartz numbers, I'm sure there are other estimates). And November approximately equal to following January certainly isn't unprecedented in terms of Worldwide figures; especially when the strongest momentum for the system is being seen in Japan (and you cannot possibly deny that the Wii U has significant momentum in Japan, now... unless you're one of those who insist that 3k in one week prior to significant game releases and price drops, etc, proves that there's no momentum in a week when it sold nearly 75k).

You have spent all of your energy trying to disprove the idea of the Wii U selling 200k in America. I find this funny, because you're trying to assert that my overall prediction of 500k is completely unrealistic, but America only accounts for 40% of that prediction - meaning, it could be half that, and still my prediction wouldn't be that far from accurate, with 400k (much more than most other people's predictions).

And Nintendo is already intervening. They went from practically no advertising through most of November to a heavy advertising campaign in December. They had no information on any future Wii U titles in November, but now we know about a number of additional titles.

Simply put, you seem to use nothing except the argument that "as it has been so far, so shall it always be". As though nothing ever changes. Of course, it's an absurd assertion, but it's the argument you're using to disagree with me - "it hasn't happened before, so it's practically impossible now". And yet, even when I provide examples of some of these things happening before, you still insist on it being practically impossible this time.

I've put forward my justification for my prediction. Time for you to put up or shut up. It's not enough to say "it hasn't happened before", you have to provide specific reason for it not being an acceptable prediction. And just saying "Wii U isn't gaining momentum" isn't any better than "it hasn't happened before" - show me the facts; if you want to claim that Wii U isn't gaining momentum, you need to provide evidence that shows that the current sales increase isn't atypical, that systems that aren't gaining momentum can be expected to see a similar increase under similar circumstances. And no, 150% increase is not similar to 500% increase.

Around 150K